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There's a 'Bull Market in Pessimism': Credit Suisse Exec
Web Producer, CNBC
The complexities surrounding the new normal in investing, whether in fixed income or equities, have left investors paralyzed. While there's a huge degree of fear and negativity, some see this as an opportunity.
"There's a bull market in pessimism right now. This is one of the best backdrops for investing in stocks that I have seen in my career," Richard Zinman, managing director of Credit Suisse Secuities told CNBC's "The Strategy Session" on Friday.
"I'm a big believer in mean reversion [a theory suggesting that prices and returns eventually move back towards the average], so for the last three years the average rate of return of stocks are down 9 percent—conversely 10-year Treasurys are up 9 percent," he said.
"That's an 1800 basis-point swing. If you are a longer term investor it's a good time to be trending out of high-quality fixed income and beginning to feed the equity market," Zinman said.
"It's a terrific recipe to have a strategic allocation in stocks. We are telling our clients to overweight large cap, high quality domestic equities and emerging market equities," he said.
Similarly, in the bond market, "the safe haven part of bonds is what we are avoiding, such as U.S. Treasurys. Instead, we are trying to focus on spread product because it's still attractive— specifically in high yield, non-dollar debt, emerging market debt and international soverance, Zinman said.
The Credit Suisse [CS
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] executive sees two areas of the financial sector investors should pay attention to:
- Financial Preferred: This has very good yields relative to other types of fixed income, specifically trust preferred, which have lower duration and good yields.
- Financial Stocks: If you're patient, over time financials should do very well.
"The alternative investment world is still a ripe world for investing for individuals," he concluded.
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