New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie on Tuesday becomes the 14th member of the 2016 GOP presidential field and a massive long shot to secure his party's nomination.
It wasn't supposed to be this way.
Before Bridgegate and a moribund approval rating in his home state, Christie was supposed to be among the front-runners, a straight-talking blue state governor with swagger, an abiding love for Bruce Springsteen and a ready font of Wall Street cash.
Now Christie has an approval rating of just 30 percent in New Jersey, barely registers in early state polling—where he often trails Donald Trump—and most of the Wall Street money is flowing to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker.
The conventional wisdom holds that Christie doesn't have a prayer. And the conventional wisdom is probably right. But it's not totally, completely impossible.
Christie is a highly skilled retail politician who has can wow the kind of town hall meetings that New Hampshire victories are built on. As soon as he finishes his announcement speech at his high school in Livingston, New Jersey, Christie is racing back to New Hampshire, where his candidacy will live or die.
Read More Hillary's campaign stumbles on trade
His first task: Raise his poll numbers enough to get in the first debate on Fox News in August. If he can't do that, Christie is probably toast before the voting even starts. But he if can, Christie will be a force to reckon with on the debate stage.