China's central bank is preparing to raise the reserve requirement ratio for yuan deposits placed in yuan clearing banks from Jan. 25 in its latest bid to stem speculation in the currency, according to three sources who have seen the document outlining the change.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC), which had established the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for offshore yuan participating banks in 2014, will return the rate to a normal level, the sources said, without specifying what that level would be. It had been set at zero.
The change will also apply to correspondent banks.
Market participants suspect the planned reserve increase is intended to soak up additional liquidity in the offshore yuan, or CNH, market as the PBOC tries to stem speculation of further depreciation in the currency.
In early January, the offshore yuan fell to its lowest since trading began in 2010 -- and well below levels traded inside China -- on fears that Beijing was planning a sharp depreciation in its currency to help boost its cooling economy.
The PBOC has managed to prop the offshore yuan back up in recent weeks through state banks operating in Hong Kong, which have started hoovering up the currency and hoarding it, thus tightening supply. But it weakened sharply again on Friday.
CNH funding costs "are set to rise" as a large volume of offshore yuan is actually being deposited back into China, explained an international investment banker who declined to be identified.
"The expectation of yuan devaluation has led to massive remittance of yuan," said China Industrial Bank's chief economist Lu Zhengwei.
"Raising the RRR will increase of the cost of arbitrage," Lu said, referring to the gap between the onshore and offshore exchange rates which the PBOC has been struggling to close.
"Domestic banks conducting exchanges offshore and remitting yuan to China will be further controlled," Lu said, "pushing up the cost of offshore yuan funding."