There is one thing we know for certain — or at least close to certain — about the fight over President Barack Obama's Supreme Court nomination. Merrick Garland, no matter his sterling credentials, is not going to be on the high court, at least this year.
Senate Republicans are rock solid in their refusal to even schedule hearings for Garland, confident they have the support of their base, if not the broader American public. The much bigger risk for Republicans would be defying conservatives and acceding to move forward on Garland. Doing so would enrage a base already disgusted with "establishment" Republicans in Washington and rallying around Donald Trump's presidential campaign. Trump on Wednesday urged the GOP Senate to block Garland's nomination.