Daryl Guppy is an independent technical analyst who appears frequently on CNBC Asia. He runs training, analysis and resource workshops for retail and professional financial market traders involved in stocks, CFDs, warrants, derivatives, futures and commodities in China, Malaysia, Singapore and Australia. He has his own trading company, guppytraders.com.
There is continued down pressure on the Euro ST 50. The secular trend is down. Short term opportunities exist to trade rallies and retreats in the context of this downtrend. A retest failure of support near 1,980 has a downside support target near 1,800.
The Shanghai Index's long-term target is near 2,760.
The 12,600 target for the Dow is achievable in January 2012.
There is a reasonable probability the U.S. dollar index will fall below 74.50 and retest the lower edge of the base of the symmetrical triangle pattern near 72.50. Traders will look for a consolidation pattern to develop between 72.50 and 74.50.
Chart patterns suggest that dollar/yen has a high probability of retesting the lower edge of the trading channel near 95.
The Dow retreat was large, but not unexpected. The retreat presented a buying opportunity, but not for a long-term uptrend continuation.
The gold price reached the long-term resistance target projection level of $1,360 before consolidating and retreating.
The euro/yen chart has multiple features which suggest a downside target near 107.
Daryl Guppy is an independent technical analyst who appears frequently on CNBC Asia.