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Economic Reports Economic Forecasting

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  • WASHINGTON, July 29- The U.S. economy and job market continue to strengthen, the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday, leaving the door open for a possible interest rate hike when central bank policymakers next meet in September. Following a two-day policy meeting, Fed officials said they felt the economy had overcome a first-quarter slowdown and was "expanding...

  • SANTIAGO, July 29- Latin America is expected to register anemic 0.5 percent growth in 2015, down from a prior estimate of 1.0 percent, the United Nations' regional arm said on Wednesday, as China decelerates and investment falls. The economy of regional powerhouse Brazil will likely contract 1.5 percent, while Mexico is seen growing 2.4 percent, the Santiago-...

  • The statement, which sent Brazil's currency tumbling, is a setback to Finance Minister Joaquim Levy's efforts to win back investor confidence in the country's economy, Latin America's largest, now in recession. S&P affirmed Brazil's credit rating of BBB-minus, the agency's lowest investment grade rating, and revised the outlook on that rating to negative...

  • BEIJING, July 28- China's top economic planner said on Tuesday that it was optimistic on the outlook for the economy in the second half of 2015, but was paying close attention to volatility in the country's stock markets. Beijing is facing an uphill battle to channel money into the real economy but banks are reluctant to lend as the slowing economy fuels a rise in...

  • *June factory output -8.0 pct y/y, biggest fall since March 2014. BANGKOK, July 28- Thailand's finance ministry on Tuesday cut its economic growth forecast for the third time this year due mainly to shrinking exports, a big obstacle to the trade-dependent country regaining traction. Since then, growth targets for Southeast Asia's second-largest economy have...

  • BEIJING, July 28- China's top economic planner said it was optimistic on the outlook for the economy in the second half of 2015, but was paying close attention to fluctuations in the country's stock markets. Speaking at a briefing in Beijing on Tuesday, Li Pumin, secretary general of the National Development and Reform Commission, described the recent activity...

  • What the Fed staff projects Monday, 27 Jul 2015 | 2:14 PM ET
    What the Fed staff projects

    CNBC's Steve Liesman provides insight to accidentally posted internal and confidential staff economic projections at the Federal Reserve.

  • MOSCOW, July 27- Russia's Finance Ministry sees year-end inflation at between 10.5 percent to 11 percent and most likely at the upper end of that range if oil prices remain at their current levels, Deputy Finance Minister Maxim Oreshkin said on Monday. The central bank said in June it expected end-year inflation to be around 10.8 percent if oil prices averaged...

  • *July 28-29 Fed meeting eyed as dollar sags. LONDON, July 27- The euro hit a four-month peak against the Swiss franc and a two-week high against a subdued dollar on Monday, after Germany's Ifo survey for July beat forecasts and painted an upbeat picture of Europe's largest economy. The euro rose 1.2 percent to $1.1113, from about $1.1084 before the Ifo survey was...

  • FRANKFURT, July 27- Price inflation is set to gradually improve this year but it remains too early to predict a turning point, the European Central Bank said on Monday. ECB President Mario Draghi has embarked on a 1- trillion-euro- plus money printing programme to buy chiefly government bonds that is set to last until September 2016. Many in Germany, however, would...

  • LONDON, July 27- The euro hit a two-week high against a subdued dollar on Monday, with traders awaiting Germany's IFO survey, which is likely to indicate Europe's largest economy is on track to post a reasonable pace of growth. Germany's IFO business climate index is forecast to dip slightly in July but will remain at levels consistent with a positive pace of...

  • Fed: Confidential forecasts mistakenly made public Friday, 24 Jul 2015 | 4:25 PM ET

    WASHINGTON— The Federal Reserve said Friday it mistakenly posted confidential economic projections on its public website last month. The incident occurred at a time when the central bank is already the subject of investigations by the Justice Department, a House committee and its inspector general involving the disclosure of confidential information...

  • WASHINGTON, July 24- Staff economists at the Federal Reserve see a quarter-point U.S. interest rate increase this year, according to forecasts the Fed mistakenly published on its website in a gaffe that drew criticism about its ability to keep secrets. "It regrettably appears once again that proper internal controls are not in place to safeguard confidential...

  • NEW YORK, July 24- The U.S. dollar edged up against most other major currencies Friday on data pointing to sluggish overseas economic growth, while the Australian dollar sagged to a six-year low after a Chinese manufacturing gauge fell to its weakest in 15 months. That has sparked a play into the dollar, "said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union...

  • WASHINGTON— The U.S. housing market has sizzled this summer, lifting expectations that home sales will finally help drive an economic expansion now in its seventh year. Signs are emerging that housing's momentum may be destined to falter in coming months. Analysts note that some of the key foundations needed to sustain a brisk pace of home-buying in the long run...

  • WASHINGTON, July 24- Staff at the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors see a single quarter-point U.S. interest rate increase by year's end, inflation stuck in low gear for five more years and an economy growing more slowly than expected by U.S. policymakers. Those bearish projections were included in a set of staff forecasts presented to policymakers at their...

  • NEW YORK— Here we go again. One worry after another has hit the municipal bond market in recent years, from a high-profile 2010 prediction for a wave of defaults to Detroit's 2013 bankruptcy filing, the largest in U.S. history. The latest concern is actually an old one: The governor of Puerto Rico said last month that the island, whose economy and population have been...

  • *China remains a mixed bag, CEO says. *CEO implying Dow won't sustain Q2 China growth: analyst. July 23- Dow Chemical Co warned of soft demand in China, raising concerns that the largest U.S. chemical maker by revenue would not be able to maintain its growth rate in the key market.

  • July 23- McDonald's Corp's said it expects global comparable sales to rise in the current quarter, after four straight quarters of decline, as its new chief executive's initiatives to boost sales start paying off along with a recovery in China. McDonald's has been struggling on myriad fronts- it is trying to recover from a food scare in China that battered Asian...

  • SYDNEY, July 23- Australia appears set for at least another year of sub par economic growth as a downdraught in global commodity prices chills both business spending and export earnings. The latest Reuters poll of analysts expects Australia's A $1.6 trillion economy to grow 2.5 percent in 2015, little changed on last year and down from April's forecast of 2.6...