Futures Now Futures Now: Blog


  Friday, 14 Feb 2014 | 2:13 PM ET

BAML’s top technician: I was wrong—buy stocks!

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

You could call it a valentine to the market.

MacNeil Curry, the head of global technical strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, was bearish on the S&P 500 going into 2014. But now he says it's time to buy.

"Up until yesterday we had been bearish risk assets and the S&P 500," Curry said in a Friday note. "Yesterday's close above 1,823 says that view is WRONG and that the larger uptrend has resumed," he wrote.

The technician now holds that the recent strength in the S&P 500 "should project further upside for a test of the highs at 1,850—and perhaps on up to the long-term channel at 1,872."

What persuaded him to get bullish is the recent strength in the S&P, which has bounced nearly 6 percent off its lows Feb. 5.

"The setup was pretty bearish, frankly," Curry told CNBC.com. "We had the impulse of decline from the highs of 1,850, fairly negative seasonals, and a pretty sharp deterioration of breath. With all of that, I was pretty confident we would head lower and probably take a run at 1,711. ... That we've then reversed as hard as we have and started to trade quite bullishly says I'm wrong."

Earlier this week, he told CNBC.com that he noticed "breadth deterioration" in the market, "which is often what you see in a correction." He went on to note, however, that "if we close above 1,823, then things start to get more constructive."

(Read more: Bulls ready to trumpet new highs; caution prevails on rally)

The rebound "was really frustrating," he said. "But this is the nature of the biz. You get everything aligned and you take your shot. And you figure out where you're wrong when you're wrong, and move on."

(Read more: Byron Wien expects 20 percent gain for S&P 500)

»Read more
  Thursday, 13 Feb 2014 | 2:54 PM ET

Now that gold touched $1,300, here’s what’s next

Here¿s how far gold can rise: Trader
Here's how far gold can rise: Trader   

Gold futures rose above $1,300 per troy ounce Thursday, breaching the round-number level for the first time since early November. And some traders say the precious metal still has a good deal of upside potential left.

"When you look at gold, it's been all about the technicals," said Brian Stutland of the Stutland Volatility Group. "As soon as we broke above $1,275 basically, it's been a straight push to $1,300. I think it continues—I'm looking around that $1,320, $1,340 level where gold could probably trade. The technical are just too strong behind it."

Like many traders, Stutland is watching closely for gold to reach its 200-day moving average, which falls at $1,308.

"I think it's a given that we hit that either today or at least next week here," he said on Thursday's episode of "Futures Now."

»Read more
  Tuesday, 11 Feb 2014 | 2:44 PM ET

This will drop gold to $1,000: Credit Suisse pro

Gold could fall to $1,000: Credit Suisse expert
Gold could fall to $1,000: Credit Suisse expert   

Gold is enjoying a great start to 2014, hitting a three-month high on Tuesday as it notches its first five-day win streak since August. But Credit Suisse's gold expert cautions against overstating the significance of the move.

In fact, he says that if the economy gets through its recent "soggy patch," gold could fall all the way to $1,000 this year.

"The fund flows that we've seen so far this year have been more short covering than new money coming in and adding to longs," said Credit Suisse's head of precious metals research, Tom Kendall, on Tuesday's episode of "Futures Now."

"I wouldn't be surprised if we see it trade up a little bit above $1,300 in the next couple of sessions," but "I think the momentum that we're seeing here is probably looking to exhaust itself in the not-too-distant future."

(Read more: Gold ends near 3-month high after Yellen remarks)

Kendall says it's about to get much, much worse for the precious metal.

"I think it's realistic to think of gold having a test of the $1,000 level at some point this year," Kendall said. "Now that's going to take well into the second half of the year, perhaps right toward the back end of Q4, before we can start thinking of gold going down to that kind of area. But that's not out of the realm of possibility by any stretch of the imagination, particularly once we get through this soft patch in the U.S. economy and we see real interest rates tick back up."

»Read more
  Friday, 7 Feb 2014 | 11:04 AM ET

Whiplash: S&P futures soar, then plunge, on jobs

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
Getty Images
Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

The immediate reaction in the futures market to the January unemployment report could only be described as confounding.

Within seconds of the report's release at 8:30 a.m. EST Friday, the S&P 500 e-mini futures promptly rose from 1,774 to 1,786, then dropped to 1,760. That represents a 1.5 percent market move, high to low, made in about 10 seconds.

»Read more
  Tuesday, 4 Feb 2014 | 6:35 PM ET

Prepare for a gold ‘moonshot’: Peter Schiff

Peter Schiff: Get ready for gold moonshot
Peter Schiff: Get ready for gold to head skyward   

Peter Schiff has a prediction, and it has to do with the Federal Reserve, inflation and gold.

The CEO of Euro Pacific Capital and a famous fan of gold, Schiff predicts that it will skyrocket once the Fed reverses the process of tapering quantitative easing and instead chooses to stimulate further so as to improve the economy.

"At some point, gold's going to go straight up like a moonshot," Schiff said on Tuesday's edition of "Futures Now." "Maybe it's going to take Janet Yellen to come out and call off the taper. Or maybe she's going to have to say, 'We're doing more of it, we're going to start increasing it.' I don't know what that magic moment is going to be."

(Read more: Gold ends nearly 1 percent lower as equities rally)

His call on gold was a good one for several years, before it staged a reversal while Schiff kept his opinion on the metal static. But he blames 2013's 30 percent decline on investors' inability to see the truth he perceives clearly. Because as the Fed buys assets more quickly (the opposite of what the central bank said it plans to do), the inflation Schiff has long called for will finally be created, leading gold to soar.

"For some people, they need a proverbial safe to fall on their head," he said. "But at some point, people are going to figure out what's going on. By the time the crowd figures it out, it's going to be very expensive to buy gold."

»Read more
  Tuesday, 4 Feb 2014 | 2:43 PM ET

Marc Faber: Here’s how much I want stocks to fall

Marc Faber: Hoping for 40 percent correction
Marc Faber: Hoping for 40 percent correction   

Marc Faber predicts that stocks will drop by 20 percent to 30 percent in the near future. But he personally hopes that they will fall even further.

"I think the market is way overdue for a 20 to 30 percent correction," said Faber, the editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report. But that is "nothing that worries me," he said. "In fact, I'm hoping for the market to drop 40 percent so stocks will again become—from a value point of view—attractive."

Faber added with a chuckle: "But that is not the view of someone who is fully invested—obviously not."

(Read more: Why long-term investors should buy this selloff)

The problem, he said on Tuesday's edition of "Futures Now," is that the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program has lifted asset prices substantially.

»Read more

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