It would appear that capitalism has a developed a terrible dependency issue, turning hostile and violent when there’s nothing left in the punch bowl. Unfortunately, new fears of a double dip recession have emerged, the caked residue of weak economic growth and a soft job market. On the heels of a 30-year spending spree and the party of our lifetime, we find ourselves searching for our equilibrium once again.
As fall begins, the economy is a mess. Unemployment is at 9.1 percent. The U.S. economy failed to add jobs in August. Consumer confidence is at record lows. The housing market is in despair. Europe is imploding. And, our political leaders cannot seem to put their differences aside to create some certainty and progress.
After trickling forward in terms of job growth in the United States, the August numbers released Friday were met with alarm. The numbers suggest that companies have stopped hiring and are maintaining the status quo in terms of head count. Based on this release, data equity markets sold off and gold rallied as concerns arose about the strength of the US economic recovery. Banks in particular including much maligned Bank of America were hit as a result.
"A very large proportion of those who are unemployed have been unemployed for a long time. It is known that if you are unemployed for a long period of time, it is much more difficult to re-enter the job market. It requires job retraining, it requires much more focused attention on hiring, and it requires not just another budget deficit, another monetary easing, but focusing much more on that particular group," Jacob Frenkel, Chairman of JP Morgan Chase, told CNBC.
"It reminds [Bernanke's speech] me of the movie airplane in the scene where one of the gates agents is saying 'don't panic don't panic' where all the passengers are running towards the exits. I think his primary job as Fed chief is just to be calm and to try and reassure markets. The story is kinda wearing thin, the vaudeville act, no-one's really buying it," Andrew Schiff, investment consultant at Euro Pacific Capital told CNBC. "The markets were expecting some kind of QE3 announcement today, they didn't get it but what they did get....was the extended meeting of the Fed in September and maybe they will get some grand QE3 strategy announcement in September."
Bernanke is unlikely to announce a third round of quantitative easing in his Jackson Hole speech this afternoon, Tony Fratto, the director of Hamilton Place Strategies, a public policy research firm, told CNBC. "If investors are betting on a Bernanke put, they are setting themselves up for a disappointment. Bernanke hinted at QE3 last year, but I don't think we are going to see that kind of activity today," Fratto said.
The fact that Deven Shama, the president of Standard & Poor’s, has stood down from his job just a couple of days after the agency downgraded the United States' credit rating has raised questions over whether he is being made into a scapegoat to deflect political pressure on the credit ratings agency.