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Economic Forecasting

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  • TORONTO, July 30- Canada's main stock index had its highest close on record on Wednesday, boosted by positive U.S. economic data and the Federal Reserve's commentary on the outlook for monetary policy.

  • METALS-Lead falls as investors book profits after rally Wednesday, 30 Jul 2014 | 12:11 PM ET

    *Manufacturing growth in China expands. LONDON, July 30- Lead prices fell on Wednesday as investors took profits after a rally this month, but a brighter global economic outlook is seen providing support to industrial metals. Part of that is driven by improving macro sentiment, "said commodity analyst Ivan Szpakowski of Citi in Shanghai.

  • July 30- Bailed-out Cyprus is likely to return to growth next year, the International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday, but cautioned the outlook was tempered by tensions over Ukraine and banks' rising bad loans.

  • BRASILIA, July 30- High inflation should not keep Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff from getting re-elected in October because wage earners have been cushioned by social gains made during a decade of Workers' Party rule, the party's boss said.

  • *Manufacturing growth in China expands. LONDON/ SYDNEY, July 30- Lead and zinc fell on Wednesday as investors took profits after a rally by both metals this month, but a brighter global economic outlook could see industrial metals resuming their rise. Part of that is driven by improving macro sentiment, "said commodity analyst Ivan Szpakowski of Citi in Shanghai.

  • TOKYO, July 30- Japan's June industrial output fell at the fastest rate since the devastating earthquake and tsunami in March 2011 as companies slowed production to offset a build-up in inventories, official data showed on Wednesday, clouding the outlook for the economy.

  • NEW YORK, July 29- The U.S. dollar hit fresh eight-month highs against the euro on Tuesday and advanced against the yen and Swiss franc on expectations for positive U.S. economic data and a potentially more hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve.

  • *Adecco, Randstad seen benefiting from subsidies, auto sector. LONDON, July 29- Despite high unemployment, weak economic growth and complex labour laws, France is offering an unlikely glimmer of hope to beaten-down staff recruitment firms such as Adecco and Randstad.

  • IMF warns of potential risks to global growth Tuesday, 29 Jul 2014 | 12:00 PM ET

    In a report assessing how individual national policies could interact to undermine the world economy, the IMF also warned the conflict between Russia and Ukraine could reverberate to the rest of the region if sanctions against Russia escalate, hitting natural gas supplies to Europe and weakening European banks.

  • LONDON, July 28- "The world of energy may have changed forever," according to Professor James Hamilton of the University of California. "Hundred dollar oil is here to stay." Hamilton, who is one of the most respected economists writing about oil, made his bold prediction in a paper on "The Changing Face of World Oil Markets", published on July 20.

  • *Lafarge confirms 2014 targets, says forex hit to lessen. PARIS, July 25- Cement maker Lafarge said on Friday it was well on track for its planned merger with Swiss peer Holcim and was seeing the first signs of recovery in Europe. Lafarge shares rose after the group said it was confident of completing its deal with Holcim in the first half of 2015..

  • *Lafarge confirms 2014 targets, says forex hit to lessen. PARIS, July 25- Cement maker Lafarge, which is preparing to merge with Swiss peer Holcim, stuck to its full-year targets on Friday and said it was seeing the first signs of recovery in Europe.

  • SYDNEY, July 25- London copper edged down on Friday but was still set to log its fifth weekly advance in six, with investors more bullish on metals on expectations the global economy is on a firmer footing and on a brighter outlook for top consumer China.

  • AP Top Extended Financial Headlines At 11:16 p.m. EDT Thursday, 24 Jul 2014 | 11:16 PM ET

    Report: Chinese regulators conclude chip supplier Qualcomm Air Algerie jetliner with 116 people on board crashes in rainstorm in restive Mali Fewer and fewer US layoffs mean job security is as strong as it's been in more than 8 years Obama calls anew for limits on US company mergers overseas, says it's a question of patriotism Amazon shares fall on deeper-than-expected 2nd- quarter loss Starbucks 2nd- quarter profit rises as food offerings become a bigger driver to cafes Growth in payments volume helps drive Visa's 3 Q profit higher; outlook misses Street view Stocks end little changed as investors work through earnings and economic reports IMF cuts global growth forecast because of slowdowns in US, Russia and emerging markets Oil falls near $102, erasing previous day's gains, amid concern about US gasoline demand

  • SYDNEY, July 25- London copper edged down on Friday but was still set to log its fifth weekly advance in six, as investors grow more positive towards metals given encouraging signs of economic revival and a brighter outlook for China in particular.

  • AP Top Extended Financial Headlines At 7:23 p.m. EDT Thursday, 24 Jul 2014 | 7:23 PM ET

    Air Algerie jetliner with 116 people on board crashes in rainstorm in restive Mali Fewer and fewer US layoffs mean job security is as strong as it's been in more than 8 years Obama calls anew for limits on US company mergers overseas, says it's a question of patriotism Amazon shares fall on deeper-than-expected 2nd- quarter loss Starbucks 2nd- quarter profit rises as food offerings become a bigger driver to cafes Growth in payments volume helps drive Visa's 3 Q profit higher; outlook misses Street view Stocks end little changed as investors work through earnings and economic reports IMF cuts global growth forecast because of slowdowns in US, Russia and emerging markets Oil falls near $102, erasing previous day's gains, amid concern about US gasoline demand Revenue increases lift 2 Q profits at airlines, which share the bounty with investors

  • AP Top Extended Financial Headlines At 6:05 p.m. EDT Thursday, 24 Jul 2014 | 6:05 PM ET

    Burkina Faso official says wreckage, remains from missing Air Algerie flight found in Mali Fewer and fewer US layoffs mean job security is as strong as it's been in more than 8 years Obama calls anew for limits on US company mergers overseas, says it's a question of patriotism Amazon shares fall on bigger-than-expected 2nd- quarter loss Starbucks profit rises as new food, drinks help drive sales Growth in payments volume helps drive Visa's 3 Q profit higher; outlook misses Street view Stocks end little changed as investors work through earnings and economic reports IMF cuts global growth forecast because of slowdowns in US, Russia and emerging markets Oil falls near $102, erasing previous day's gains, amid concern about US gasoline demand Revenue increases lift 2 Q profits at airlines, which share the bounty with investors

  • IMF cuts US and global growth forecasts for 2014 Thursday, 24 Jul 2014 | 11:00 AM ET

    WASHINGTON— The International Monetary Fund foresees the global economy expanding less than it had previously forecast, slowed by weaker growth in the United States, Russia and developing economies. The lending organization predicted Thursday that global growth will be 3.4 percent in 2014, below its April forecast of 3.7 percent.

  • AP Top Extended Financial Headlines At 5:22 a.m. EDT Thursday, 24 Jul 2014 | 5:22 AM ET

    World shares subdued despite China manufacturing as reports say EU mulls new Russia sanctions Nokia says Q2 profit up 20 percent, gives upbeat outlook after sale of troubled handset unit Swiss drug maker Roche posts 7 percent profit drop amid strong franc, diagnostic charges European carriers suspend more Tel Aviv flights amid ongoing safety concerns Chairman of US meat supplier apologizes for China subsidiary at center of food scandal Facebook on a roll as 2nd- quarter earnings, revenue surpass expectations European Central Bank: contact data stolen in breach of website database security South Korea unveils stimulus plans as shock of ferry sinking slows growth $300 million later, Social Security trying to salvage computer system that doesn't work Spain's jobless rate edges down to 24.5 percent in second quarter as economy gains traction

  • Vermont revenue forecast down; Shumlin wants cuts Thursday, 24 Jul 2014 | 5:01 AM ET

    MONTPELIER, Vt.— Recovery from the Great Recession almost seven years ago is still slogging through Vermont, with lower-than-expected state revenues forecast Thursday that prompted Gov.