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Economic Forecasting

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  • Trader on rate hike: Bring it!   Friday, 22 May 2015 | 12:02 PM ET
    Trader on rate hike: Bring it!

    The FMHR traders discuss strategy going in to a Federal Reserve rate hike.

  • *Core inflation at highest since January 2013. May 22- U.S. stocks fell in late morning trading on Friday, retreating from recent record highs, as investors await Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's economic outlook for clues on the timing of a rate hike after new data showed a rise in inflation. "September is the most likely scenario and Yellen has been very keen on...

  • TAIPEI, May 22- Taiwan on Friday cut its 2015 full-year economic growth target and said exports will contract fall this year, citing weak demand for the island's products from China and other markets. Taiwan's worse-than-expected exports in recent months have provided further evidence that the recovery of global economies remains uncertain and demand for...

  • TOKYO, May 22- The Bank of Japan offered a slightly more upbeat view of the economy on Friday and its governor shrugged off the need for more monetary stimulus, dismissing market concerns that the recovery is too slow to accelerate inflation toward the bank's target. That followed data on Wednesday which showed Japan's economy expanded at the fastest pace in a...

  • *Vodafone shares gain, Richemont slips. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi and Bank of England Governor Mark Carney, along with other central bankers, will be addressing an ECB Forum in Portugal later in the day. Attention will also fall on Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, who is due to speak on the U.S. economic outlook before the Greater Providence...

  • MEXICO CITY, May 21- Mexico's government on Thursday slashed its economic growth forecast to between 2.2 to 3.2 percent this year after data showed the economy grew at its slowest pace in over a year undermined by flagging oil revenue and weak U.S. growth. "The U.S. economy is expected to recover its dynamism during the year, which will strengthen Mexico's non-oil...

  • MOSCOW, May 21- The International Monetary Fund sees the Russian economy shrinking by 3.4 percent in 2015, a smaller contraction than previously forecast, but said the country's public finances faced big longer-term challenges because of low oil prices. Russia's economy was tipped into crisis last summer when an existing slowdown was compounded by a sharp...

  • IMF upgrades Russia growth outlook Thursday, 21 May 2015 | 10:31 AM ET

    MOSCOW— The International Monetary Fund predicts a less severe recession for Russia and says the country's economy will return to growth in a "mild recovery" next year. Following a recent staff visit to Russia, the IMF says in a statement that it now predicts a 3.4 percent contraction in GDP this year and says "growth should resume" in 2016.. On Thursday, the IMF did not...

  • MOSCOW, May 21- Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said on Thursday that his ministry predicted the economy would contract by 2.5 percent this year, less than officially forecast, according to comments posted on the Finance Ministry's official Twitter account. On Monday, Russia's Economy Minister Alexei Ulyukayev also said he expected the economy to...

  • Why GDP numbers don't add up: Economist   Thursday, 21 May 2015 | 7:17 AM ET
    Why GDP numbers don't add up: Economist

    John Ryding, RDQ Economics, says there are better ways to measure economic growth than current measures used by the government.

  • Fixing GDP calculations   Thursday, 21 May 2015 | 7:14 AM ET
    Fixing GDP calculatons

    CNBC's Steve Liesman takes a look at how U.S. economic growth is measured and why changes are likely after "issues" surface about the data.

  • MOSCOW, May 21- Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said on Thursday that his ministry predicted the economy would contract by 2.5 percent this year, according to comments posted on the Finance Ministry's official Twitter account.

  • OSLO, May 20- Norway's economy grew faster in the first quarter than the central bank and analysts had expected, data from Statistics Norway showed on Wednesday, but economists still expect a June interest rate cut. Even though global oil prices have climbed more than 40 percent from six-year lows last January to touch 2015 highs in early May, prices still remain...

  • JAKARTA, May 20- Indonesia's central bank must strike the right balance between the needs for stronger growth and stability in Southeast Asia's largest economy, Governor Agus Martowardojo said on Wednesday. "We are still headed for a bumpy road ahead," he said, adding that Bank Indonesia would improve its coordination with the government. There's a "need to strike...

  • *Japan's economy surprises with 2.4 pct annualized growth. SINGAPORE, May 20- Crude oil prices bounced back on Wednesday from steep falls in the previous session as strong Japanese economic growth surprised markets and the consumer outlook in Australia seemed to brighten, stoking producer hopes of increased demand. Japan's economy, the world's third largest,...

  • *Japan's economy surprises with 2.4 pct annualized growth. SINGAPORE, May 20- Crude oil prices bounced back on Wednesday from steep falls in the previous session as strong Japanese economic growth surprised markets and the business outlook in Australia also seemed to brighten, stoking producer hopes of increased demand. Brent futures were up 57 cents at...

  • Mexico's central bank lowers growth forecast Tuesday, 19 May 2015 | 6:07 PM ET

    MEXICO CITY— Mexico's central bank has lowered the country's economic growth forecast for the remainder of the year due to a variety of factors including falling oil production. The bank said in a report Tuesday that it expects Mexico's gross domestic product to increase between 2 percent and 3 percent, down from the previous forecast of between 2.5 percent...

  • BRASILIA, May 19- Brazil's government is confident that greater coordination between monetary and fiscal policies will help bring inflation back on target by late 2016, despite market skepticism, a senior official told Reuters on Tuesday. It has also left the door open for more rate hikes, despite concerns that Brazil's economy is headed for its worst...

  • MOSCOW, May 18- Economy Minister Alexei Ulyukayev expects Russia's economy to contract by less than 2.8 percent this year, Russian news agencies quoted him as saying on Monday. Last month, he said that gross domestic product would most likely decline 2.8 percent in 2015, a slightly better forecast than the ministry's previous forecast of a 3 percent...

  • Record highs, red flags   Monday, 18 May 2015 | 2:00 PM ET
    Record highs, red flags

    Despite new highs in the market, what do investors really need to see from stocks, with Matt Maley, MillerTabak.