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Economic Forecasting

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  • WASHINGTON, April 8- The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday predicted the global recovery would strengthen this year and next as output in richer nations picked up, but it warned of rising risks in emerging economies.

  • *Net capital ouflow seen at $100 billion in 2014. MOSCOW, April 8- Russia's Economy Ministry more than halved its official economic growth forecast for 2014 on Tuesday, underscoring the negative impact of international tensions over Ukraine on Russia's already struggling economy.

  • IMF CUTS RUSSIA'S 2014 GDP GROWTH FORECAST TO 1.3 PCT FROM 2 PCT, SEES DOWNSIDE RISK FOLLOWING RUSSIA'S TAKEOVER OF CRIMEA.

  • MOSCOW, April 8- The International Monetary Fund cut its 2014 economic growth forecast for Russia by two-thirds on Tuesday and warned that downside risks remain on geopolitical uncertainties after Moscow's takeover of Crimea.

  • WASHINGTON, April 8- The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday predicted the global recovery would strengthen this year as output in richer nations picked up, but it warned of rising risks in emerging economies.

  • Unemployment benefits bill headed to House Tuesday, 8 Apr 2014 | 3:37 AM ET

    They released their letter as the Senate voted 59-38 for the bill. The outlook remains cloudy, though, for legislation that took three months to move through the Senate. Jack Reed, D- R.I., and Dean Heller, R- Nev., the bill's leading supporters, said they were willing to consider changes in hopes of securing passage in a highly reluctant House.

  • TOKYO, April 8- The Bank of Japan stuck to its existing monetary stimulus on Tuesday, confident that it did not need further support measures to beat chronic deflation even as a sales tax hike clouds the outlook for the world's third-largest economy.

  • TOKYO, April 8- The Bank of Japan kept monetary policy steady on Tuesday and maintained its view the economy is likely to continue recovering moderately, signalling its confidence the country is making steady progress toward meeting the bank's price target.

  • TOKYO, April 8- Japan's current account balance shifted to a surplus in February for the first time in five months but economists warn of a return to deficits as exports to emerging markets remain weak.

  • *Mersch says QE theoretical, long way to practical steps. *Constancio- must assess inflation outlook before acting. BRUSSELS/ LONDON, April 7- The European Central Bank will get ready to make large-scale asset purchases but is still a long way off embarking on such a plan and will first assess whether the inflation outlook has changed, ECB policymakers said.

  • No bear case from jobs report     Monday, 7 Apr 2014 | 8:33 AM ET

    CNBC's Steve Liesman provides insight into the commentary from Wall St. about Friday's jobs data.

  • World Bank slashes Thai growth forecast on unrest Monday, 7 Apr 2014 | 2:15 AM ET

    HONG KONG— The World Bank slashed its economic growth forecast for Thailand on Monday because of ongoing political strife that is crimping domestic demand. The Washington- based organization forecast that Thailand's economy would expand 3 percent this year, down from 4.5 percent growth it had forecast at the end of last year.

  • SINGAPORE, April 7- The World Bank trimmed its 2014 growth forecast for developing East Asia but said the region's economies were likely to see steady growth in the next couple of years, helped by a pick-up in global growth and trade.

  • SINGAPORE, April 7- The World Bank trimmed its 2014 growth forecast for developing East Asia but said the region's economies were likely to see steady growth in the next couple of years, helped by a pick-up in global growth and trade.

  • April 4- More Wall Street economists now believe the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in the first half of 2015, as evidence builds that the U.S. economy has regained some momentum lost during an unusually rough winter, a survey showed on Friday.

  • *Gold briefly goes above $1,300/ oz. LONDON, April 4- Gold rose on Friday after a U.S. nonfarm payrolls report came in slightly below expectations, but signs that the world's largest economy is growing at a solid pace, a stable dollar and higher equities capped the upside. Gold futures for April delivery rose 1.1 percent to $1,298.00 an ounce.

  • ISTANBUL, April 4- Ratings agency Fitch cut its growth forecasts for Turkey on Friday, citing slower domestic lending growth and signs that consumer and investor confidence are moderating. Turkey targets medium-term economic growth of 5 percent, which the central bank has said it expects to achieve by mid-2015 after shortfalls in 2012 and 2013..

  • *Trade data due Apr 10, CPI Apr 11, GDP Apr 16. BEIJING, April 4- China is forecast to have grown at its slowest rate in five years in the first quarter, a Reuters poll shows, with the slow start to 2014 already prompting government action to steady the world's second-largest economy. Back then, Beijing unleashed a 4 trillion yuan stimulus package to shore up growth.

  • NEW YORK, April 3- Bill Gross, manager of the world's largest bond fund at Pimco, said on Thursday that asset returns will be in the low- to mid-single digits this year despite relatively positive economic growth.

  • ANKARA/ LONDON April 3- Turkish consumer prices rose more quickly than expected in March to remain well above the central bank's year-end target, bolstering the case for the bank to keep interest rates higher for longer.

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