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Economic Forecasting

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  • WASHINGTON, April 14- The International Monetary Fund highlighted an increasing divergence in the growth paths of the world's major economies this year, as a pick-up in the euro zone and India is expected to be offset by diminished prospects in other key emerging markets. In its flagship World Economic Outlook, the Washington- based institution kept its...

  • GENEVA, April 14- Global goods trade will grow by 3.3 percent this year and by 4.0 percent in 2016, less than previously forecast, mainly due to sluggish economic growth, the World Trade Organization said on Tuesday. "We expect trade to continue its slow recovery but with economic growth still fragile and continued geopolitical tensions, this trend could easily...

  • *FX reserves fall by $110 bln in Q1. BEIJING, April 14- Chinese banks made 1.18 trillion yuan worth of new loans in March, beating expectations, as the authorities ramped up efforts to avert a slowdown in economic growth while lenders cut their exposure to the risky shadow financing. Economists polled by Reuters had expected new local-currency loans at 1.03...

  • GENEVA, April 14- Global goods trade will grow by 3.3 percent this year and by 4.0 percent in 2016, less than previously forecast, mainly due to sluggish economic growth, the World Trade Organization said on Tuesday. "We expect trade to continue its slow recovery but with economic growth still fragile and continued geopolitical tensions, this trend could easily...

  • WTO CHIEF ECONOMIST SAYS WTO USES IMF GDP FORECASTS, DOES NOT EXPECT ANY REVISION TO WTO FIGURES FROM IMF'S NEW GDP NUMBERS LATER ON TUESDAY WHICH WILL BE "IN THE SAME BALLPARK".

  • *FX reserves fall by $110 bln in Q1. BEIJING, April 14- Chinese banks made 1.18 trillion yuan worth of new loans in March, beating market expectations, as the authorities ramped up efforts to avert a sharper economic slowdown. Economists polled by Reuters had expected new local-currency loans at 1.03 trillion yuan in March, compared with 1.02 trillion yuan in...

  • Northeast this past winter could shave 1 to 1.6 percentage points off first quarter same-store sales of Dunkin Brands Group Inc, said Nick Setyan, a senior vice president of equity research at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. Weather will have an impact on the U.S. economy as a whole- Goldman Sachs cut its first-quarter GDP outlook by 0.2 percentage points in...

  • *Risks of moving too soon and too late seen as more balanced. SAN FRANCISCO, April 13- As the U.S. job market improves, the risk is receding that an unexpected setback could derail the recovery once the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, San Francisco Fed President John Williams told Reuters. "As we go through time, that probability of saying' well, the shocks are...

  • BEIJING, April 13- China's March exports badly missed expectations, falling 15 percent from a year earlier in dollar-denominated terms, while imports fell by 12.7 percent. CAO YANG, AN ANALYST AT PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK IN SHANGHAI. YAO XUEKANG, ANALYST AT ESSENCE SECURITIES, BEIJING.

  • *Japan Inc, wary of outlook, cautious about boosting spending. TOKYO, April 13- Japan's core machinery orders fell for a second straight month in February in a sign that business investment remains soft, and analysts say the smaller-than-expected decline won't necessarily allow policymakers to relax given an uncertain economic outlook.

  • INSTANT VIEW-China's March exports badly miss forecast Sunday, 12 Apr 2015 | 10:40 PM ET

    ANDREW POLK, RESIDENT ECONOMIST, THE CONFERENCE BOARD IN BEIJING. The Chinese yuan was down 0.12 percent to 6.2157 per dollar, more than two-week low, at 0237 GMT. --China grew its trade sector by 3.4 percent in 2014, missing the government's growth target of 7.5 percent by more than half.

  • BEIJING April 13- China's March exports badly missed expectations, falling 15 percent from a year earlier in dollar-denominated terms, while imports fell by 12.7 percent. That left the country with a trade surplus of $3.08 billion for the month, the General Administration of Customs said on Monday. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected exports to rise by 12.0...

  • SINGAPORE, April 13- The World Bank cut its 2015 growth forecasts for developing East Asia and China, and warned of' significant' risks from global uncertainties including the potential impact from a rising dollar and higher U.S. interest rates. Latest GDP growth projections, percent:. *East Asia and Pacific includes developing EAP and the Newly Industrialised...

  • SINGAPORE, April 13- The World Bank cut its 2015 growth forecasts for developing East Asia and China, and warned of "significant" risks from global uncertainties including the potential impact from a strengthening dollar and higher U.S. interest rates. The Washington- based lender expects the developing East Asia and Pacific region, which includes China, to grow...

  • *Japan Inc, wary of outlook, cautious about boosting spending. TOKYO, April 13- Japan's core machinery orders, a key gauge of capital spending, fell for a second straight month in February in a sign of soft business investment that could challenge policymakers' efforts to shake off decades of economic malaise. But weak capital spending plans for the new fiscal year...

  • TOKYO, April 13- Japan's core machinery orders fell 0.4 percent in February from the previous month, Cabinet Office data showed on Monday, suggesting companies were cautious about raising capital spending amid uncertainty over the economic outlook. The fall in core orders, a highly volatile data series regarded as an indicator of capital spending in the...

  • GOIANIA, Brazil April 10- The Brazilian economy will likely shrink this year, but the South American country could return to growth in 2016 if it succeeds in boosting investor confidence with its austerity drive, the International Monetary Fund said on Friday. The IMF lowered its 2015 forecast for Brazil's economic performance to a 1 percent contraction from...

  • TOKYO, April 10- Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Hiroshi Nakaso has tempered market expectations that the bank will expand its stimulus programme later this month, saying a cut in its inflation forecast would not be enough to justify more monetary easing. Slumping oil prices have caused inflation fall back to zero, keeping alive market expectations that the BOJ...

  • *Data points to Europe's largest economy Germany improving in Feb. SINGAPORE, April 10- Brent crude edged up on Friday, supported by strong economic data from Germany that lifted the oil demand outlook and as worries about a quick return of Iranian supplies eased. May Brent crude rose 30 cents to $56.87 a barrel by 0510 GMT, on track for its third weekly gain in four.

  • Brent nudges up near $57, set for weekly gain Thursday, 9 Apr 2015 | 11:40 PM ET

    *Data points to Europe's largest economy Germany improving in Feb. SINGAPORE, April 10- Brent crude edged up on Friday, supported by strong economic data from Germany that lifted the oil demand outlook and as worries about a quick return of Iranian supplies eased. May Brent crude rose 21 cents to $56.78 a barrel by 0335 GMT, on track for its third weekly gain in four...