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Economic Forecasting

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  • *Risks of moving too soon and too late seen as more balanced. SAN FRANCISCO, April 13- As the U.S. job market improves, the risk is receding that an unexpected setback could derail the recovery once the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, San Francisco Fed President John Williams told Reuters. "As we go through time, that probability of saying' well, the shocks are...

  • BEIJING, April 13- China's March exports badly missed expectations, falling 15 percent from a year earlier in dollar-denominated terms, while imports fell by 12.7 percent. CAO YANG, AN ANALYST AT PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK IN SHANGHAI. YAO XUEKANG, ANALYST AT ESSENCE SECURITIES, BEIJING.

  • *Japan Inc, wary of outlook, cautious about boosting spending. TOKYO, April 13- Japan's core machinery orders fell for a second straight month in February in a sign that business investment remains soft, and analysts say the smaller-than-expected decline won't necessarily allow policymakers to relax given an uncertain economic outlook.

  • INSTANT VIEW-China's March exports badly miss forecast Sunday, 12 Apr 2015 | 10:40 PM ET

    ANDREW POLK, RESIDENT ECONOMIST, THE CONFERENCE BOARD IN BEIJING. The Chinese yuan was down 0.12 percent to 6.2157 per dollar, more than two-week low, at 0237 GMT. --China grew its trade sector by 3.4 percent in 2014, missing the government's growth target of 7.5 percent by more than half.

  • BEIJING April 13- China's March exports badly missed expectations, falling 15 percent from a year earlier in dollar-denominated terms, while imports fell by 12.7 percent. That left the country with a trade surplus of $3.08 billion for the month, the General Administration of Customs said on Monday. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected exports to rise by 12.0...

  • SINGAPORE, April 13- The World Bank cut its 2015 growth forecasts for developing East Asia and China, and warned of "significant" risks from global uncertainties including the potential impact from a strengthening dollar and higher U.S. interest rates. The Washington- based lender expects the developing East Asia and Pacific region, which includes China, to grow...

  • SINGAPORE, April 13- The World Bank cut its 2015 growth forecasts for developing East Asia and China, and warned of' significant' risks from global uncertainties including the potential impact from a rising dollar and higher U.S. interest rates. Latest GDP growth projections, percent:. *East Asia and Pacific includes developing EAP and the Newly Industrialised...

  • *Japan Inc, wary of outlook, cautious about boosting spending. TOKYO, April 13- Japan's core machinery orders, a key gauge of capital spending, fell for a second straight month in February in a sign of soft business investment that could challenge policymakers' efforts to shake off decades of economic malaise. But weak capital spending plans for the new fiscal year...

  • TOKYO, April 13- Japan's core machinery orders fell 0.4 percent in February from the previous month, Cabinet Office data showed on Monday, suggesting companies were cautious about raising capital spending amid uncertainty over the economic outlook. The fall in core orders, a highly volatile data series regarded as an indicator of capital spending in the...

  • GOIANIA, Brazil April 10- The Brazilian economy will likely shrink this year, but the South American country could return to growth in 2016 if it succeeds in boosting investor confidence with its austerity drive, the International Monetary Fund said on Friday. The IMF lowered its 2015 forecast for Brazil's economic performance to a 1 percent contraction from...

  • TOKYO, April 10- Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Hiroshi Nakaso has tempered market expectations that the bank will expand its stimulus programme later this month, saying a cut in its inflation forecast would not be enough to justify more monetary easing. Slumping oil prices have caused inflation fall back to zero, keeping alive market expectations that the BOJ...

  • *Data points to Europe's largest economy Germany improving in Feb. SINGAPORE, April 10- Brent crude edged up on Friday, supported by strong economic data from Germany that lifted the oil demand outlook and as worries about a quick return of Iranian supplies eased. May Brent crude rose 30 cents to $56.87 a barrel by 0510 GMT, on track for its third weekly gain in four.

  • Brent nudges up near $57, set for weekly gain Thursday, 9 Apr 2015 | 11:40 PM ET

    *Data points to Europe's largest economy Germany improving in Feb. SINGAPORE, April 10- Brent crude edged up on Friday, supported by strong economic data from Germany that lifted the oil demand outlook and as worries about a quick return of Iranian supplies eased. May Brent crude rose 21 cents to $56.78 a barrel by 0335 GMT, on track for its third weekly gain in four...

  • SHANGHAI, April 9- China's consumer inflation stayed flat at 1.4 percent year-on-year in March, but was slightly above market expectations. Analysts polled by Reuters predicted the index would come in at 1.3 percent, compared with 1.4 percent posted the prior month. The producer price index remained in negative territory at -4.6 percent, the National Bureau of...

  • DIARY- Top Economic Events to April 21 Thursday, 9 Apr 2015 | 8:01 PM ET

    SARASOTA, United States- Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker speaks on the economic outlook before an event co-sponsored by the Global Interdependence Center and the Financial Planning Association of the Suncoast- 1245 GMT. BLOOMINGTON, United States- Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Narayana Kocherlakota speaks...

  • NEW YORK, April 9- The U.S. dollar hit a near-three-week peak on Thursday, driven higher by sentiment that U.S. interest rates inevitably will rise, with the prospect of a June increase still in the mix despite spotty economic data. The euro fell to its lowest level since March 20, trading off 1.13 percent to $1.06535 on the EBS trading platform. The greenback climbed...

  • IMF's Lagarde sees 'new reality' of mediocre growth Thursday, 9 Apr 2015 | 10:40 AM ET

    WASHINGTON, April 9- Mediocre economic growth could become the "new reality," leaving millions stuck without jobs and increasing the risks to global financial stability, the head of the International Monetary Fund warned on Thursday. Christine Lagarde, the managing director of the IMF, first warned in October the global economy could be stuck on a "new mediocre"...

  • MUMBAI, April 9- Moody's ratings revised India's sovereign rating outlook to "positive" from "stable" on Thursday as it expects the actions by policymakers will enhance the country's economic strength in the medium term. Moody's also said that it expected structural advantages, supported by relatively benign commodity prices and liquidity conditions...

  • PANAMA CITY, April 8- Panama's President Juan Carlos Varela said on Wednesday that his country is on track to lower its fiscal deficit to 2 percent of gross domestic product this year, despite slowing growth in the Central American nation. Panama's gross domestic product grew by 6.2 percent in 2014, the slowest rate in four years, and down from an 8.4 percent...

  • SAFT-ON-WEALTH-Living with low economic growth Wednesday, 8 Apr 2015 | 4:41 PM ET

    NEW YORK, April 8 (Reuters)- Investors worried about the International Monetary Fund's prediction of an extended era of lousy economic growth should probably relax and take a deep breath. Or rather, they might want to pay better attention to the price they pay for growth rather than the absolute rate at which the economy is going to grow. "The cross-country...