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  • Want a sign of how much big, costlier and more ambitious the Democratic caucus efforts is this year compared to four years ago? Consider these two facts: Four years ago, eventual winner John Kerry entered caucus night with 300 drivers prepared to haul supporters to caucus sites. This year, says former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, Hillary Clinton's campaign has 5,000 of them.

  • Iowa Votes: Three Key Points You Should Keep In Mind Thursday, 3 Jan 2008 | 1:55 PM ET
    Iowa map

    Here are three things to watch for when Iowans vote tonight: 1) Mobilization: if Democratic turnout is huge, that's a sign that Barack Obama has succeeded in pulling out enough independent voters to win. It would also show the energy and enthusiasm that Democrats hope will give them an edge in the general election.

  • CNBC Trillion Dollar Survey: It's Clinton vs. Romney Thursday, 3 Jan 2008 | 12:17 PM ET

    Regardless of what happens today in Iowa, the 2008 presidential contest will come down to Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney, according to a CNBC Trillion Dollar Snap Survey of some of the nation's top money managers, investment strategists and professional economists.

  • Iowa Countdown: Songs, Jokes And The Redskins Wednesday, 2 Jan 2008 | 2:54 PM ET

    Snapshots from the closing hours of the Iowa caucus: Song choices: At John Edwards rallies, Bruce Springsteen's "The Rising." At Barack Obama's, Stevie Wonder's "Signed, Sealed and Delivered." At Hillary Clinton's, Dolly Parton's "9 to 5." At Mike Huckabee's rally in Des Moines last night, it was "Sweet Home Alabama" --except the candidate himself was on stage strumming guitar with a local band.

  • Bhutto Death, Economy Shake Up '08 White House Race Friday, 28 Dec 2007 | 5:21 PM ET

    The assassination of Benazir Bhutto in Pakistan immediately echoed through the U.S. presidential campaign, allowing various candidates to emphasize their national security credentials. ... But for now, the issue that has risen most rapidly in the 2008 debate is the weakening economy.

  • Three Presidential Hopefuls Talk About Free Trade Friday, 28 Dec 2007 | 4:47 PM ET

    There has been an erosion in consensus within the Democratic and Republican parties for free trade, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.  Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson and John Edwards discuss what they would do as president to assure Republicans and Democrats alike that continued trade expansion is in the best interest of the economy.

  • Huckabee's Choice: Populist or Fiscal Conservative? Wednesday, 26 Dec 2007 | 6:28 PM ET

    Every political underdog who breaks through faces a choice: keep doing what worked for a long shot, or shift tactics in reaching for a victory that suddenly appears possible? Mike Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor and Baptist minister, faces that choice right now.

  • Dissatisfaction with Economy Jumps: NBC/WSJ Poll Thursday, 20 Dec 2007 | 3:02 PM ET
    Going out of business

    A vast majority of Democrats and a sizeable number of Republicans aren't happy with economic conditions and 56 percent of the public expect a recession within the year.

  • We have a new Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll that's shaking up the Republican presidential race, since Rudy Giuliani has lost his national lead. But it's also shaking up Ron Paul's legions of Internet supporters--because he fared so poorly at just 4 percent of the vote. Because his numbers were so low I didn't mention Paul in my Wall Street Journal story on the poll.

  • Congress Gives AMT Relief For 20 Million Taxpayers Thursday, 20 Dec 2007 | 9:13 AM ET

    Congress approved a one-year delay in imposing the alternative minimum tax on over 20 million additional taxpayers. President Bush will sign the measure.

  • US Congress Sends Bush Budget Bill with Iraq Money Wednesday, 19 Dec 2007 | 6:08 PM ET

    The U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday approved a $556 billion bill to fund most of the federal government through September 2008, ending a year-long budget fight with President George W. Bush by also including new money for the Iraq war

  • Ron Paul: Okay, He's Got My Email Address Wednesday, 19 Dec 2007 | 12:35 PM ET

    It's been a while since I've had the chance to go through your emails, but here's a look at what I've gotten lately. It's no surprise that the Ron Paul "faithful" continue to send in lots of comments in regards to their candidate.

  • Poll: Is it Time for Bloomberg to Announce? Wednesday, 19 Dec 2007 | 11:04 AM ET

    New York Mayor Bloomberg says he plans to stay the Mayor of New York until the bitter end.

  • Senate Tackling $516 Billion Budget Bill Tuesday, 18 Dec 2007 | 4:22 AM ET

    The Senate is poised to take up a $516 billion measure to fund 14 Cabinet agencies and troops in Afghanistan, with President Bush likely to sign the measure if his GOP allies can add up to $40 billion for the war in Iraq.

  • John McCain: Latest "Up" In Up And Down GOP Race Monday, 17 Dec 2007 | 4:46 PM ET
    John McCain

    The longer the Republican presidential race goes on, the crazier it gets. John McCain suddenly has a mild breeze at his back--because Mike Huckabee has undercut Mitt Romney in Iowa, because of his lingering support at the scene of his 2000 New Hampshire triumph, because Democratic Senator Joe Lieberman has endorsed him, and because the Boston Globe has provided its seal of approval as well.

  • Bush Still Wields Power (Veto) Against Democrats Friday, 14 Dec 2007 | 3:24 PM ET

    With an approval rating stuck in the 30s, President Bush no longer holds many political cards. But he still has one ace in the form of his veto pen. That's a substantial weapon--as President Bill Clinton showed against the Republican Congress in 1996 and Bush is showing against the Democratic Congress now.

  • GOP's Gap: Enthusiasm For Presidential Candidates Thursday, 13 Dec 2007 | 12:53 PM ET
    Iowa map

    Whatever happens in the Iowa caucuses, this year's contests have made plain that Republicans face a general election problem whoever the two parties' nominees are: an enthusiasm gap. Democratic campaigns expect that 125,000 or more Iowans will turn out for their caucuses on Jan 3. Republican campaign expect half that.

  • House Passes AMT Fix, Again Thursday, 13 Dec 2007 | 10:35 AM ET

    Confronting the Senate and White House, House Democrats for a second time passed tax relief for 21 million people, going after companies and hedge fund managers that shelter money offshore. The vote Wednesday was a near party-line 226-193.

  • Huckabee Takes "Center Stage" In Iowa Wednesday, 12 Dec 2007 | 2:31 PM ET
    Mike Huckabee

    This afternoon's Republican presidential debate in Des Moines may seem like just another in a long series, but it really isn't. It's the first debate with Mike Huckabee as the Iowa front-runner.

  • Political Capital with John Harwood Wednesday, 12 Dec 2007 | 1:10 PM ET

    Okay, here are my predictions for 2008 as part of our Outlook '08 coverage. We'll look back next year to see how I did--see number 7 below in order to figure out how good I am at this! 1) MY OVERALL PREDICTION: at a time of heightened public anxiety about America's future, the presidential election next November will shatter previous turnout records.

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