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INDICATORS - Bulgaria - Updated Oct 4

(Updates with Sept unemployment rate)

New items are marked by asterisk (*) -------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT JULY/12 JUNE/12 JULY/11 (revised) (revised) m/m pct change +0.4 -0.4 +2.6

y/y pct change +0.4 +2.2 +7.4 --------------------------------------------------------------

INDUSTRIAL SALES JULY/12 JUNE/12 JULY/11 m/m pct change +9.4 -4.2 +1.4 y/y pct change +9.2 +1.2 +15.0

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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (seasonally adjusted data) Q2/12 Q1/12 2011 Q4/11 Q3/11 pct change y/y +0.5 +0.5 +1.7 +0.9 +1.4 pct change q/q +0.2 0.0 n.a. +0.1 +0.1

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BULGARIAN CONSUMER PRICES AUG/12 JULY/12 AUG/11 m/m pct change +0.5 +1.5 -0.3 y/y pct change +3.9 +3.1 +4.1

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EU HARMONISED PRICE INFLATION AUG/12 JULY/12 AUG/11 m/m pct change +0.6 +1.1 -0.1 y/y pct change +3.1 +2.4 +3.1

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*UNEMPLOYMENT RATE SEPT/12 AUGUST/12 SEPT/11 monthly total 349,409 351,506 309,971 pct of workforce 10.6 10.7 9.4

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PRODUCER PRICE INFLATION AUG/12 JULY/12 AUG/11 m/m pct change +1.4 +1.9 -0.1 y/y pct change +7.1 +4.5 +6.6

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BALANCE OF PAYMENTS (in million euros) JULY/12 JAN-JULY/12 JAN-JULY/11 (revised) CURRENT ACCOUNT +360.6 -487.7 +291.8 TRADE BALANCE -228.5 -2,417.0 -1,047.9 exports, FOB 1,864.2 11,753.8 11,561.9 imports, FOB 2,092.7 14,170.9 12,609.8 SERVICES, net 624.9 1,337.2 1,268.4 INCOME, net -163.4 -721.4 -1,049.6 TRANSFERS, net change 127.6 1,313.6 1,120.8 FINANCIAL ACCOUNT* 504.4 -1,148.5 -1,498.0

FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT 36.1 846.2 376.5

BNB FOREX RESERVES, net** -985.5 -1,448.9 534.9

OVERALL BALANCE 985.5 1,448.9 -534.9

C/A BALANCE AS PCT/GDP n.a -1.2 +0.8

NOTES:(*) The financial account includes direct and portfolio

investment flows plus foreign loans to government structures and the private sector less balance of payments support, which is part of foreign exchange reserves. (**) A minus sign in the entry denotes an increase, while a plus sign denotes a decrease. ---------------------------------------------------------------

CURRENCY BOARD FIXED EXCHANGE RATE

1.95583 levs per euro from July 5, 1999 CENTRAL BANK DAILY

LEV/DOLLAR REFERENCE EXCHANGE RATES USED FOR STATISTICAL AND

ACCOUNTING PURPOSES ---------------------------------------------------------------

* The finance ministry has made the following forecasts for major economic indicators for 2012. The projections are subject to revision. 2010 and 2011 indicators had been announced by the statistics office, the central bank and the finance ministry:

2013 2012 2011 Budget balance, (pct/GDP) -1.3 -1.3 -2.1 GDP real growth, pct +1.9 +1.2 +1.7 GDP bln levs 81.49 77.7 75.2

EU HARMONISED CPI (end-year) n.a +2.8 +2.0

EU HARMONISED CPI (average) n.a +2.1 +3.4

Current account (pct/GDP) -2.8 -1.5 +0.3 -- -------------------------------------------------------------

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Keywords: ***BULGARIA INDICATORS***