NY cotton tumbles as USDA hikes global stock estimate
* NY cotton ends down 2 pct, sharpest drop since Sept. 21
* USDA hikes global ending stocks for 3rd month
* More downside seen if market closes below 70.65/lb
NEW YORK, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Cotton futures in New York fell their most in three weeks on Thursday after the U.S. Department of Agriculture raised its 2012/13 global ending stocks forecast for the fiber to a record high for a third consecutive month.
The USDA's latest numbers reinforced concerns about weakening demand for cotton from China, the world's largest textile market. While consumption was thinning, the data indicated that U.S., Chinese and Indian production of cotton were all expected to go up.
"It's a bearish roller coaster," said Keith Flury, senior commodities analyst at Rabobank.
U.S. cotton's most-actively traded futures contract, December
, settled New York trade at 70.71 cents a lb -- down 1.39 cents, or almost 2 percent.
It was the sharpest percentage fall in a day for December cotton since Sept. 21. The contract also hit a 10-day bottom of 70.41 during the session.
Sharon Johnson, cotton specialist at Knight Futures in Atlanta, Georgia, said additional pressure could bear on the market if December cotton settled the coming session at below 70.65 cents per lb -- the lowest level hit on Sept. 28.
Trading volume during the session were lighter than usual, accounting for just under 53 percent of the 30-day norm, preliminary data from Thomson Reuters showed.
The U.S. government raised its global inventory forecast for the season to end-July 2013 by 3.4 percent to a record of 79.11 million 480-lb bales due to a combination of sharply higher production and reduced consumption.
It was its third monthly increase since the new marketing season started on Aug. 1 and the highest since records began in 1960. The new total would also represent a 14-percent jump from 2011/12's 69.56 million bales.
The USDA cut its consumption rate for China by 2 million bales to 36 million, citing falling demand from mills, which have bought less due to high domestic prices.
It raised its output forecast for the world's top three producers, China, India, the United States, as well as other major growers Brazil and Pakistan, taking the total up 2 percent to 116.32 million bales.
(Reporting By Josephine Mason and Barani Krishnan; Editing by Bob Burgdorfer)
Keywords: MARKETS COTTON/