Allen's Scorecard: 2012


Euro zone debt crisis will get a lot worse and weak banks will fail. F

Credit to Mario Draghi, the ECB President who decided, within days of my making this prediction, that he would ease market tensions with the first of two Long-Term Refinancing Operations. As a result, my predictions were both wrong.

The EU will act at the last minute. B

The ECB acted long before the last minute, but that didn't stop Europe's politicians from bickering and consistently wasting any breathing space handed to them by ECB intervention.Given that we had an LTRO 2 and an OMT announcement, I think it is fair to say eurozone officials rarely did anything that was not at the last minute. Going to give myself a B.

Strong banks will clean up. A

Big banks that avoided any major scandals did very well once the ECB came to their rescue, earlier than I had expected.

U.S. debt will dominate. A+

Fiscal Cliff anyone? I am going to struggle to Rise Above another A -plus.

Looking ahead to 2014


  • Hot Commodity Prospects in 2013

    CNBC's Sharon Epperson shares her outlook on oil, gold, copper and corn next year, and Dan Dicker, MercBloc president, provides his energy forecast for 2013 and the best way to play oil and gas.

  • Defense in the New Year

    Defense companies are sure to be affected if we go over the "fiscal cliff" because of automatic spending cuts to the industry, reports CNBC's Jane Wells.

  • Travel Trends in the New Year

    CNBC's Simon Hobbs takes a look at some of the major travel trends in 2013.


Predictions 2013 Slideshows