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Is 2013 the End of the PC?

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Apple tweaks its iPhone lineup (or else).

Fears of Apple's decline in the short-term are overdone, but this much is true: The iPhone powers earnings, and the growth opportunity has shifted to emerging markets. To keep Android from dominating there, Apple will have to design and release a new kind of iPhone that's less expensive and more cloud dependent.

Samsung presses its independence (from Google).

No single company has benefitted from Android more than Samsung. But for the mobile giant's gains to stick long-term, it will have to develop an ecosystem of its own and reduce its reliance on Google. Look for Samsung to start doing exactly that in 2013, as new EVP David Eun returns to Silicon Valley from a year in South Korea and gets down to business.

Enterprise accelerates PC's decline.

The single most significant trend in tech is the decline of the PC ecosystem. It's hurting not only PC stalwarts like Dell and Hewlett-Packard, but also accessory makers like Lexmark and Logitech. It will get much worse in 2013, as enterprises hold off adopting Windows 8 and buy other tablets instead, accelerating the decline of the PC ecosystem.

Year of the shakeout (some big companies on the bubble fall off).

Which brings us to this: Like a tragic game of musical chairs, some companies that can't find a place in a strong mobile ecosystem will crumble in late 2013. Most at risk: Barnes & Noble, HP, Nokia, and Research In Motion.

PREDICTIONS 2012: FORTT'S SCORECARD

Looking ahead to 2014

Video

  • CNBC's Sharon Epperson shares her outlook on oil, gold, copper and corn next year, and Dan Dicker, MercBloc president, provides his energy forecast for 2013 and the best way to play oil and gas.

  • Defense companies are sure to be affected if we go over the "fiscal cliff" because of automatic spending cuts to the industry, reports CNBC's Jane Wells.

  • CNBC's Simon Hobbs takes a look at some of the major travel trends in 2013.

Previous Predictions

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