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SOFTS-ICE sugar, coffee pull away from lows

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Published: Monday, 17 Dec 2012 | 8:38 AM ET
By: Sarah McFarlane and Nigel Hunt

* Sugar rises in small rebound

* West Africa cocoa flow slower than expected

(Adds details, quotes, updates prices)

LONDON, Dec 17 (Reuters) - Raw sugar and arabica coffee futures on ICE were higher on Monday with both markets regaining some ground after falling last week to the lowest levels in more than two years.

Cocoa futures on ICE were little changed, as dealers eyed a slower-than-expected flow from West Africa's main crop.

March raw sugar futures on ICE were up 0.14 cents or 0.7 percent at 19.15 cents a lb at 1302 GMT. The contract has rebounded after dipping last week to a 18.31 cents, the lowest level for the benchmark front month since August 2010.

Dealers said a huge speculative net short position had left the market susceptible to sporadic short covering rallies.

"The commitment of traders report showed there was quite a few people short and we've had a little bounce," said a London-based broker.

"It's unlikely to get much higher because each time prices get to 20 cents it gets sold off."

Speculators increased their net short position in raw sugar contracts on ICE Futures U.S. to the most in more than five years in the week to Dec. 11, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data showed on Friday.

Concerns over whether the U.S. economy will avoid a "fiscal cliff" of tax hikes and spending cuts were expected to cap gains in commodities markets due to the negative impact on riskier asset classes.

"You will see some short covering now we are back above 19 cents but the majority will wait until you hear from the U.S. (on a resolution to the so-called fiscal cliff) before you go long," said Andrey Kryuchenkov, analyst at VTB Capital.

"For the market to regain confidence, people will wait until they hear on that."

March white sugar on Liffe rose $4.10 or 0.8 percent to $512.80 per tonne.

Thai raw sugar premiums will be stuck in a range this week as rising global supply prompts buyers to wait for bargains, dealers said on Monday.

COFFEE STEADIES

March arabica coffee futures on ICE were up 1.3 cent or 0.9 percent at $1.4445 per lb. The contract dipped to $1.4320 last week, the lowest level for the second month since June 2010.

"The market is well supported at these levels although it could come down to around $1.30," said a London-based broker noting there was limited roaster buying.

"Roasters are quite happy at the moment and don't need to do anything much."

March robusta coffee futures were down $3 or 0.2 percent at $1,869 a tonne.

Dealers said they were continuing to keep a close watch on January's premium to March <LRC-1=R> which has widened to around $50 in recent sessions, partly due to depleted certified stocks.

"This is a reflection of what's happening on the physical market, certified stocks are low," said a London-based broker, adding the premium could widen further to $60-$70.

March cocoa futures on ICE were off $1 or 0.04 percent at $2,434 a tonne.

Dealers eyed a slight fall in the flow of cocoa out of West Africa according to the latest data from Ivory Coast and Ghana.

Cocoa arrivals at ports in top grower Ivory Coast since the start of the season in October stood at around 488,000 tonnes by Dec. 16, exporters estimated on Monday, down from 578,368 tonnes in the same period of the previous season.

Ghana's cocoa purchases reached 347,043 tonnes by Dec. 6 since the season started, down 22.7 percent compared with the same period last year, data from industry regulator Cocobod showed on Monday.

May cocoa on Liffe was off 6 pounds or 0.4 percent at 1,545 pounds a tonne.

(Editing by Alison Birrane)

 Print
LONDON, Dec 17- Raw sugar and arabica coffee futures on ICE were higher on Monday with both markets regaining some ground after falling last week to the lowest levels in more than two years. March raw sugar futures on ICE were up 0.14 cents or 0.7 percent at 19.15 cents a lb at 1302 GMT.

   
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