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Jakobsen has also predicted that the Dax stock index could fall by a third as Germany's industrial expansion slows in 2013, and the cost of soy beans may rise by 50 percent. His predictions include a default for Spain, rises in both the dollar/yenand euro/Swiss franc and Hong Kong swapping the Hong Kong dollar's peg from the U.S. dollar to China's renminbi.
These predictions should be taken with a pinch of salt as most of Jakobsen's similar predictions last year didn't come true – most notably the forecast that Apple's stock would lose 50 percent from its 2011 high. The technology company is actually up 28 percent on the year after the successful iPhone5 and iPad Mini launches.
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Predictions which did come true included the rise of Sweden and Norway as safe havens and a slowdown in Australia's growth.
Jakobsen himself adds that these particular predictions are "ten events which could change the financial landscape" or black-swan type events rather than ten he thinks are sure bets. He cautioned investors against discounting such events.
"Complacency is as big as we've seen in many years," he warned.
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Another of his more extreme calls is the 50 percent rise in the cost of soy beans. Last year, he predicted a similar rise in the cost of wheat, which was outstripped by sky-high corn prices after a series of bad weather events.
"China is very aggressively stockpiling soy beans because it fears this happening," he warned.
The potential removal of the Swiss franc E1.20 peg to the euro has become more discussed in recent months, but few have made the call that its removal would send the euro/Swissie to 0.95, as Jakobsen does. He argued that the Swiss National Bank, which has bought up unprecedented levels of foreign currency to maintain the peg, will have to balance exports with the risks posed to the Swiss sovereign wealth fund – which he believes is over-exposed to Australian bonds and U.S. Treasurys.