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Asia Stocks Lower; Nikkei Off Multi-Year Highs

SOFTS-Liffe cocoa edges off 8-1/2 month low, sugar falls

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Published: Friday, 4 Jan 2013 | 11:03 AM ET
By: Nigel Hunt and Sarah McFarlane

* Ivory Coast cocoa production forecast to fall 13 percent

* ICE arabica coffee unable to hold recent gains

(Adds quotes, updates prices)

LONDON, Jan 4 (Reuters) - Cocoa futures on Liffe fell to an 8-1/2 month low on Friday before trimming losses, tracking trends in many other commodity markets as slower U.S. job growth diminished concern that the Federal Reserve may rethink its monetary policy.

Dealers said cocoa prices also remained underpinned by declining production in top grower Ivory Coast.

May cocoa futures on Liffe were off 8 pounds or 0.55 percent at 1,434 pounds a tonne at 1537 GMT after dipping to 1,426 pounds, the lowest level for the second month since April 13, 2012.

Ivory Coast expects its cocoa output to dip 13 percent this season to 1.289 million tonnes due mainly to a lack of investment in ageing plantations, a top official at the Coffee and Cocoa Council said in an interview.

"The lower harvest in Ivory Coast is likely to contribute to the first supply deficit on the global cocoa market for three years in 2012/13 which should help cocoa prices recover in the coming weeks and months," Commerzbank said in a market note.

ICE March cocoa futures traded down $27 or 1.2 percent at $2,229 per tonne.

Arabica coffee futures on ICE were also lower as the market was unable to hold onto recent gains, edging back towards the two-and-a-half year low hit in December.

LARGE STOCKS

March arabica futures traded down 1.05 cents or 0.7 percent at $1.4545 per lb. The contract has fallen back after peaking at $1.5195 on Thursday, its highest level in around three weeks.

"It didn't hold that initial support around $1.50 and we find ourselves back towards $1.45 on March. The market feels quite comfortable there," one London broker said.

"There is a lot of arabica around. Certified stocks are still huge," the broker added.

Coffee exports from Costa Rica increased 28 percent in December, compared with the same month a year earlier, reaching 100,120 60-kg bags for the month, the country's national coffee institute Icafe said on Thursday.

Robusta coffee futures on Liffe were little changed with the market underpinned by renewed strength in the nearby premium <LRC-1=R> linked to low certified stocks.

The premium was trading around $50, a level it has struggled to convincingly breach in recent days.

"There definitely seems to be someone willing to sell at $50 and the market doesn't seem to break that level for the time being," one broker said.

March robusta coffee futures were down $2 at $1,943 a tonne after peaking on Thursday at $1,969, the highest level for the contract since Nov. 13.

Raw sugar futures on ICE joined the retreat and dealers said ample supplies and weak demand on the physical market were bearish for the near-term price outlook.

March raw sugar futures on ICE traded down 0.15 cent or 0.8 percent at 18.95 cents per lb.

Initial support was seen at 18.60 cents while the recent low for the contract was 18.31 cents set on Dec. 13, 2012.

"We continue to believe that the market needs to test recent lows...There has been end user interest at these levels and we may see this again, re-establishing a rough early 2013 range of 18.50/20.00 cents to continue for the medium term," Nick Penney of brokers Sucden Financial said in a market note.

March white sugar on Liffe eased $2.50 or 0.5 percent to $512.00 per tonne.

(Editing by Alison Birrane)

 Print
*Ivory Coast cocoa production forecast to fall 13 percent. Ivory Coast expects its cocoa output to dip 13 percent this season to 1.289 million tonnes due mainly to a lack of investment in ageing plantations, a top official at the Coffee and Cocoa Council said in an interview.

   
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