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Gold Rises as U.S. Budget Talks Lift European Stocks

Photo: Tom Grill | Iconica | Getty Images

Gold prices rose on Monday as stock markets were lifted towards two-year highs by moves to break a budget impasse in the United States, and as the euro steadied ahead of the first euro zone finance ministers' meeting of the year.

Expectations that the Bank of Japan will deliver bold monetary easing also provided support, but the absence of U.S. players, away for the Martin Luther King public holiday, was likely to keep the market subdued, analysts said.

Spot gold was up 0.2 percent to $1,686.80 an ounce at 1404 GMT, after gaining 1.3 percent last week, its biggest one-week rise since late November.

U.S. gold futures for December delivery were down 30 cents an ounce to $1,686.70.

"For today, prices will just linger around current levels as activity is really subdued with the U.S. markets shut, and we expect trading volumes and liquidity to be quite light," UBS analyst Joni Teves said.

"Certainly we can expect better liquidity with the U.S. back tomorrow and price action will have more information from the BoJ tomorrow as well."

Gold players were closely watching European equity movements as euro area finance ministers met in Brussels, with talks on debt-stricken Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Greece on the agenda.

Signs of progress in U.S. debt ceiling talks helped underpin gold as they lifted stocks, which gold has tended to track in the last year.

The Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week will provide clues on the bank's attitude towards monetary stimulus. Any indication of withdrawal of the policy could hurt bullion.

The Japanese central bank's policy meeting ending on Tuesday was also monitored. The BoJ is expected to consider making an open-ended commitment to buy assets until a 2-percent inflation target is reached.

That drove the yen to a 2-1/2-year low and pushed Tokyo's benchmark gold to match a record of 4,911 yen a gram.

Monetary stimulus from central banks helped gold extend its bull run into a twelfth year in 2012, with investors fleeing to hard assets on worries that rampant cash printing would prompt currency debasement.

"Generally easing policies are positive for gold as it is part of the whole accomodative environment from global central banks," Teves said.

Interest Picks Up

Trading interest in precious metals picked up in the week to Jan. 15, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Speculators raised their net long positions in U.S. gold futures and options by 8 percent in the week ended Jan. 15, the CFTC said.

Silver net long positions gained 6.8 percent to 22,300 contracts. Spot silver was up 0.2 percent at $31.91, having hit a one-month high of $32.11 last week.

Gold prices in India rose as the market factored in the finance ministry's decision to raise the import tax on gold to 6 percent from 4 percent, which will raise the cost of bringing metal into the country.

The upcoming Lunar New Year festivities in Asia, particularly China, which is vying with India to become the world's top gold consumer, have lifted physical gold demand since the start of the year.

Platinum and palladium's upward momentum stalled as investors cashed in recent gains made on supply disruptions in South Africa and a brighter outlook for the world's economy.

Spot platinum was at $1,669.49 an ounce, up 0.1 percent, after hitting a three-month high of $1,701.50 on Thursday. It has lost a premium over gold that it had regained last week for the first time since March.

Spot palladium, which rose to a 16-month low of $730.47 in the previous session, eased 0.6 percent to $713.50.

"For prices to extend their gains, other than an escalation of supply disruptions, demand would need to firm, albeit given the mine closures, a more modest recovery in demand would now be required," Barclays analyst Suki Cooper said in a note.

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