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Yuan ends up, oil firms said buying dollars

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Published: Wednesday, 20 Feb 2013 | 4:33 AM ET
By: G20 policymakers did not single out Tokyo for its actions

* Yuan finishes at 6.2376/dollar, up 0.11 pct

* Oil firms buy dollars for overseas business-traders

* But market increasingly wary of Asian currency war risk

* China central bank fixes midpoint 0.3 pct stronger

* No impact from weak China January FDI data

SHANGHAI, Feb 20 (Reuters) - The yuan closed up on Wednesday after the People's Bank of China (PBOC) set its daily midpoint slightly higher to reflect a fall in the dollar in global markets, and as oil companies bought dollars for their overseas business, traders said. Still, the market is increasingly wary of the growing risk of Asian countries devaluing their currencies to protect exports, but ignored a decline in China's foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, traders said. Spot yuan closed at 6.2376 per dollar, up 0.11 percent from 6.2443 at Tuesday's close. Volume was heavy at $21.04 billion, up sharply from Tuesday's $14.38 billion, partly pushed up by demand from oil firms, traders said. Chinese oil giants, such as PetroChina and Sinopec , are the biggest dollar buyers on the Chinese domestic foreign exchange market for their active overseas acquisitions and because China imports more than half of its crude oil requirements. Before trading began, the PBOC set the yuan's midpoint at 6.2804, 0.3 percent stronger than Tuesday's midpoint of 6.2821 and inversely tracking the dollar index, which fell slightly overnight. In the latest sign of worries that Asian countries may push down the value of their currencies following a sharp decline in the Japanese yen, the New Zealand central bank said on Wednesday that the New Zealand dollar was significantly overvalued compared with its economic fundamentals. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler said part of the currency's strength reflected global imbalances, knocking the currency down by nearly half a cent. Caution has increased since the weekend, when a statement which have depressed the yen. The market largely interpreted the statement as de facto acceptance of Japan's recent expansionary monetary policies.

In another related development, China's FDI inflows in January fell 7.3 percent from a year earlier, extending 2012's series of consecutive year-on-year declines that highlights still sluggish global economic conditions. The Commerce Ministry said on Wednesday that China drew $9.27 billion in FDI in January, down from December's $11.7 billion. Investment inflows from key Asian economies and the U.S. were down in the latest period.

The onshore spot yuan market at a glance:

Item Current Previous Change PBOC midpoint 6.2804 6.2821 0.03Spot yuan 6.2376 6.2443 0.11Divergence from -0.68

midpoint*

Spot change ytd -0.12 Spot change since 2005 revaluation +32.69 *Divergence of the dollar/yuan exchange rate. Negative number

indicates that spot yuan is trading stronger than the midpoint. The PBOC allows the exchange rate to rise or fall 1 percent from official midpoint rate it sets each morning.

OFFSHORE CNH MARKET

The offshore yuan traded in Hong Kong (CNH) remains

at a premium to the onshore version. Analysts say this is partly due to the fact that the offshore yuan is not bound by the official midpoint, which keeps the exchange rate within 1 percent on either side of the fix. One-year non-deliverable forwards, considered an imperfect indicator of future expectations for yuan appreciation or depreciation, were quoted at rates implying depreciation over the next 12 months.

The offshore yuan market at a glance:

Instrument Current Difference from

onshore (pct)

Offshore spot yuan 6.2345 +0.05*Offshore non-deliverable 6.3170 -0.58**

forwards

*Premium for offshore spot over onshore

**Figure reflects difference from PBOC's official midpoint, since non-deliverable forwards are settled against the midpoint. .

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MARKET DRIVERS - G20 promises unlikely to end devaluation debate

- China restrains yuan rise in response to Asian currency weakness - Corporates get tough lesson in FX risk from central bank

- Offshore yuan premium returns as market bets on appreciation - Spot yuan has rallied strongly since late July 2012, and the PBOC is using its daily midpoint to restrain further appreciation. GRAPHIC: http://link.reuters.com/pyx74t - China's trade surplus surged in late 2012, but the surge was mainly due to weak imports rather than strong exports. GRAPHIC: http://link.reuters.com/qav68s - Corporate yuan purchases still exceed dollar purchases, but the gap is narrowing. Exporters are converting progressively smaller portions of their foreign exchange receipts into yuan. GRAPHIC: http://link.reuters.com/syx74t - Hot money outflows may be putting downward pressure on the yuan. GRAPHIC: http://link.reuters.com/saz74t - Despite relatively stable dollar/yuan exchange rate, the yuan is appreciating on a trade-weighted basis. GRAPHIC: http://link.reuters.com/sed74t

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(Editing by Kim Coghill)

 Print
*China central bank fixes midpoint 0.3 pct stronger. SHANGHAI, Feb 20- The yuan closed up on Wednesday after the People's Bank of China set its daily midpoint slightly higher to reflect a fall in the dollar in global markets, and as oil companies bought dollars for their overseas business, traders said.

   
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