Currently Collins thinks the stochastics are nearing the danger zone, that is nearing 80. As bad as that sounds there's something else. This is the third time since December that it's hit this kind of excessive level.
In turn, the reading suggests a kind of triple top and in technical analysis a triple top is never good.
But that's not all.
Collins has identified what he believes to be something called a rising wedge formation – that is a pattern that suggests a big move is imminent - however this pattern could predict either a move lower or a move higher.
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Unfortunately, the move higher doesn't seem likely to Collins, simply because the stochastichs appear negative – that is, Collins thinks a break down is the more likely scenario.
And to make matters that much worse, Collins has spotted concerning patterns in the weekly chart. All told, Collins is bearish. He thinks the Nasdaq-100 could be at risk of taking a big haircut from here. Specifically, Collins thinks that a 3 to 5 percent pullback may lie ahead.
Although Jim Cramer prefers to invest based on fundamentals, he says these patterns are not to be ignored.
"Although I'm a fundamentalist and not a chart follower, I don't like it when the charts are against me. And in this case the charts appear to be against me. If nothing else, it's a good reason to be wary of tech."