Call it a crude awakening. Geopolitical risk, a large inventory draw, and anxiety about going home short over a holiday weekend have set up oil for higher prices.
Crude oil futures have seen a tremendous move higher this week, as the momentum that carried oil from last week's bottom on the worries of China's cash crunch has been accompanied by this week's tensions in Egypt. In addition, oil is entering the peak of demand season this week. And on Tuesday, inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute showed a tremendous draw. All in all, traders have been given every reason to buy this market.
(Read More: Oil Rises on US Oil Stock Decline, Egypt)
After the API data, crude was able to test a high as $102.18 on Tuesday night. The market has already begun correcting back below $101. Wednesday's Energy Information Administration data will be released as regularly scheduled, and will be one of the most closely watched inventory numbers in recent weeks.
Support will now be found at $99.98 to $100, and a close below here will show signs of a failure. To maintain this pace of momentum, bulls want to see a retest of $102 on Wednesday, and a close above $101.20.