GO
Loading...

We’re only in the bull market's 4th inning: Siegel

There are bulls, and then there's Jeremy Siegel.

On Tuesday's episode of "Futures Now," the Wharton finance professor didn't just argue that stocks are cheap. He proclaimed that the Dow Jones industrial average will rise to his "fair market value" estimation of 18,000—10 percent above current levels—as companies continue to perform better and better.

"It could get there by the year-end, it could get there sooner, it might be later," Siegel said. "But I certainly don't think that we're in the ninth inning of the bull market yet."

In fact, it's not even time for the seventh inning stretch.

"I'm a bull, and I can't believe what S&P is putting out for earnings estimates in 2014," he said. "Operating earnings 2013 over 2012 were up 10.6 percent; S&P reported earnings were up 16 percent from last year. They're expecting reported earnings to be up 20 percent this year. We didn't have a real good economy last year, and we got 16 percent earnings growth.

"If any of these earnings estimates pan out—and they are bullish—hey, we're in about the fourth or fifth inning of this bull market," Siegel added. "This could be ... much more than 18,000 on the Dow.

Jeremy Siegel, economist and Wharton professor of finance
Denis Doyle | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Jeremy Siegel, economist and Wharton professor of finance

"It is remarkable how firms have been able to churn out the dollars despite GDP growth last year, as we know, of really 2.5 percent," he said.

Siegel, the author of "Stocks for the Long Run," the 1994 classic in its 5th edition, is also bullish in the short term.

(Read more: Siegel: I'm a bull, but these two things worry me)

"The market had been at that high of 1,850, 1,858," he said. "It could not get over it, and it broke through late last week. And that ... the short run—right now, a move of 5 or 10 percent certainly can be there."

Siegel's fair market value estimate for the S&P 500 is 2,000.


—By CNBC's Alex Rosenberg. Follow him on Twitter: @CNBCAlex.

Watch "Futures Now" Tuesdays & Thursdays 1 p.m. ET exclusively on FuturesNow.CNBC.com!

Like us on Facebook! Facebook.com/CNBCFuturesNow.

Follow us on Twitter! @CNBCFuturesNow.

Symbol
Price
 
Change
%Change
DJIA
---
S&P 500
---

Featured

Contact Futures Now

  • Showtimes

    Watch Futures Now Tuesdays & Thursdays 1p ET exclusively on cnbc.com!

Sponsor Links

  • CME Group brings buyers and sellers together through its CME Globex electronic trading platform and trading facilities in New York and Chicago.

  • Take your trading to the next level with a platform that lets you trade stocks, options, futures and forex all in one place with no platform or data with no trade minimums. Open an account with TD Ameritrade and get up to $600 cash.