Stocks had their best three days in quite awhile, and whether the run continues depends in large part on what Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has to say before Congress Wednesday and Thursday.
Housing numbers, inflation data and lots of Fed speak loom large for markets but it may be the fate of bond insurers that really drive the direction of trading in the week ahead.
I've noted that when you are in this kind of uncertain market, everyone becomes a technician. There's a lot of attention now focused on tech stocks, now that both the NASDAQ and NASDAQ 100 have broken to 52-week lows.
Disappointing. Challenging. Uncertain. Short of expectations. Those are the words most heard from companies in this morning's December same store sales report. Large companies like Macy's, Gap, Abercrombie, and Ann Taylor reported sales below expectations.
Limited Brands sales at stores open at least a year fell 8 percent in December, hurt by lower traffic during the holiday season, and predicted negative January same-store sales.
The "whole financial sector was demolished" in the wake of the subprime mortgage mess -- but analysts and investors "threw the baby out with the bathwater," said Patrick Becker Jr. of Becker Capital Management. He named two bank stocks with little or no exposure to subprime.
Are bonds about to lose their flight-to-quality premium? The Fed, the executive branch, the legislative branch, and now even the Bank of England (which cut its key rate a quarter point to 5.5 percent) are working to resolve credit problems. The 10-year is looking toppy here.
The rally held. This was an important day, a day where the "sell in the last hour" juggernaut was broken, at least for the moment. There are many reasons, but short covering is the key: 1) Short covering in financials.
Shares of retailers' stocks sank on Monday, after consumers swarmed stores on "Black Friday," the day after Thanksgiving, but focused on hunting for discounts.
One of my mother's favorite lines is the one about not saying anything if you can't think of something nice to say. Well that was the story of the markets Monday. What a day of angst. Look at this headline from a note sent by MF Global's Andy Brenner Monday afternoon: "The market has traded like a crazed man with no liquidity." Yikes.
Reversing the trade is the key story today: 1) The "buy tech, sell financials" trade--which has been astonishingly successful since July--is showing signs of unwinding as traders nibble on financials.