Jon Hilsenrath, money and investing news editor at The Wall Street Journal, offered CNBC his "4 for 4": the four stocks he says investors must watch on this shortened business week.
As I watched my White Sox finish a sweet sweep of the Cubs last night, I talked to my friend Mike from Detroit. He's a great guy, despite his love of the Tigers. But he said one thing that could summarize how many in motown may feel by tomorrow night. "It's not like we didn't see this coming," said Detroit Mike about Toyota closing in on #1.
After a couple of weeks of being on the road in New York for the "Today Show," Detroit for auto stories, and other places around the country, I've finally had a chance to take in the e-mails you've been sending me about the increasingly dicey auto business. While I have, and will continue to directly answer your e-mails, there are a few I'd like to share.
Over the last three weeks, I have heard the same thing over and over, often from those who think I'm partial to Toyota. It goes something like this: "You never say when things go wrong for Toyota." Well, for all of you, Toyota Phil has a news flash: Toyota says it will be falling short of its sales goal for the U.S.
1) Reliance Steel just jumped 5 percent as they updated guidance, raising it 30 percent from previous guidance, due to much higher increases in carbon steel prices.
One of this sector's last lines of defense in the market is falling through.
With oil surging to $138.54 and being projected by some to hit $150 by July 4, it's putting immediate pressure on automakers to adjust production and push small cars and crossovers while pulling back on trucks and SUVs. On paper, this shift seems simple enough. In reality, it's not so easy.
It's a major achievement Chrysler should rightfully be proud of. But it also highlights the next challenge for them, as well as GM and Ford: closing the "perception gap." First, here's the good news for the Big 3 on assembly plant efficiency.
This year Porsche is number 1 with an average of 67 problems per 100 made. It's followed by Infiniti (jumping from 9th to 2nd), Lexus, Mercedes and Toyota. The Porsche victory is not surprising given it historically does well in quality surveys. Infiniti's jump is impressive and will help that brand continue on the resurgence it's enjoyed in the last couple of years.
Stocks tumbled after General Motors and Ford reported sharp drops in May sales. Prior to the news, it was a yo-yo session as a $2 drop in oil prices dragged on energy stocks and concerns lingered about financials. The market popped several times after some good news, including a jump in factory orders, GM's restructuring plan and comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, but gains quickly fizzled.
Mark it down. May is the month that finally broke the back of the Big 3's great run with trucks and SUVs. Oh sure, Detroit still dominates the truck business, but it's clear buyers want something less, that's what is hurting Detroit.