Supplies are at levels not seen since the frenzy of the last housing boom while the median price for a new home hit a record high, further signs that housing is recovering.
I had a little trouble with the anchor this morning. She said the housing starts number was good news, “better than expected”, despite the fact that it was down. And then the building permits number was “disappointing.” I don’t blame her at all for the characterizations because a) she probably didn’t write them, and b) it’s really a matter of how you’re looking at the numbers and of course who you are. Take a look at the stats:
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If you happened to read my blog last week, you’ll remember what a warm reception I got from the CEOs of the major public home builders at the JP Morgan Basics and Industrials conference. As they summarily rejected my polite requests for interviews at our live camera, they also made it abundantly clear that it was media hype fueling the negative sentiment among healthy home buyers across the nation.
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I think I may have been too optimistic about Washington, DC. There, now you all can start yelling at me that I’m tanking the real estate market again. But I have to call it as I see it. In the last couple of weeks I’ve heard some anecdotal information from my realtor cronies around Georgetown that things are really selling well. Yes, they’re staying on the market longer than last year and yes they have to be sanely priced, but yes--they’re moving.
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“I just decided that I should do something pretty creative in trying to earn as much money as possible…and I just woke up one morning and had the idea.” That's California homeowner Darren Shuster talking about how he woke up with a new vision of his home: house as billboard. I’m not kidding. We saw the painters. He’s literally selling ad space on his 3-bedroom ranch.
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I hate to confuse the situation any more, especially after all the lovely emails so many of you sent, berating me for publicizing the foreclosure data from RealtyTrac. God I love my job…but I am forced today to report more, because, well, that’s what I do. This time it’s from the Mortgage Bankers Association, which conducts a survey of loan servicers and claims to have data on 44 million loans.
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Well, it appears none of you really believe my explanation of the RealtyTrac numbers. So be it. I thought I'd post a few of your replies, although I'm not adding the ones that claim I'm being paid by the company. Trust me, I wish I had some extra income coming in, but sorry to say I don't freelance. Here's what you have to say:
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Yesterday, the folks over at online data tracker RealtyTrac gave me an exclusive on their monthly foreclosure numbers, because the numbers were just SO out of hand (and because I positively begged them). Foreclosure activity nationwide is up 19% from April to May and up 90% from May 2006 to May 2007. That’s big, and let me tell you, all the media outlets jumped on the bandwagon. ABC World News Tonight even led with the story.
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I'm blogging to you from the J.P. Morgan Basics and Industrials Conference in mid-town Manhattan, where I've never in my life seen so many freaked out CEOs. I say this only because not nine months ago I attended a similar UBS conference, where the Homebuilder CEOs and their CFOs and their PR reps and their baggage handlers and their mother-in-laws were all fighting with each other to jump in front of our cameras to talk about the recovery shining brightly ahead in the housing market.
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Thanks to all who wrote in with your Open House stories this past weekend. Please keep them coming, as the more we get, the more we know! Anonymous in NJ writes: Ridgewood is a high tax suburb with good schools and a great downtown. But it seems like the bloom is off the rose as far as fast moving residential real estate. There's nothing moving in the 8-1.5 million range despite what a lot of the brokers are saying (they are all drinking the same coolaid!). Oddly, there seems to this denial factor with sellers too.
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We all know real estate is local, and try as I do to focus in on as many different metro markets as I can, many of you are on my case for allegedly over-generalizing the market. I am, therefore, in response, attempting to launch a new feature that better gauges housing, neighborhood to neighborhood, market to market. Alas, I am but one reporter, and much as I’d like to get out of town more often, I can’t get everywhere, and thus I am soliciting your help.
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Realty Check takes you from the housing boom to bust and beyond. Led by Diana Olick, we were here when the house came crashing down and we have the singular expertise to explain how it will be rebuilt. The goal of this blog is to bring the market, the rescue plans, the politics and the pontification home to you, with clear concise explanations of the wildly complicated issues in all facets of real estate today and tomorrow. Realty Check is read by leaders in the real estate industry: Investors, Realtors, Big builder CEOs, Mortgage Bankers, Wall Street Analysts and Administration Officials to name a few.