While there are no real estimates of how many "accidental landlords" now inhabit the housing market, Realtors say they are one more cause of today's low inventory.
On TV today, I'm reporting a story about the mortgage bankers pushing back against the very premise of this whole subprime mortgage "crisis." The chairman of the Mortgage Bankers Association, John Robbins, is giving a speech at the National Press Club. It opens like this, "I stand before you today mad as hell. I have to be angry. It would be too depressing to accept that a very few unethical people can give my profession, and me, a black eye. But it's worse than that. It's not just our reputations that have been damaged. People have been hurt. The very people we take pride in helping. All because of a very few unethical actors."
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Forgive me for getting local, but since all real estate is, I can't help but let you in on a dirty little secret in my neighborhood. Despite all the talk of prices falling through the housing floor, subprime mortgages changing the way banks do business and every other house in every development heading for foreclosure, something is simmering in Washington, D.C.Here it comes... Take a moment to breathe...
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In a speech today at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke detailed the many ways in which financial regulators, including the Federal Reserve and Congress, could act in order to prevent a recurrence of the subprime mortgage crises. Okay, not many ways -- four ways.
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Housing starts stopped traffic on the street again, especially after the street predicted a drop and once again, the numbers chose to take another path. Housing starts jumped up two and a half percent in April, despite a bevy of bad indicators: bad weather, high inventories, increased cancellation rates, a credit crunch, the lowest builder confidence in 15 years and low overall confidence among investors about putting their money in housing period.
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Stabilization. That’s the buzzword today from the number crunchers/housing prognosticators at the National Association of Realtors in its quarterly metro home price report. “Essentially, we see that the existing-home market is stabilizing in a broad cyclical trough and moving in the right direction, with a modest gain from the fourth quarter,” says NAR senior economist Lawrence Yun (yes, the exalted David Lereah is gone).
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I received a curious press release in the email today from the National Association of Realtors that I thought I might share. Headline: NAR Partners with the Center for Responsible Lending and Neighborworks America to Keep Families in Their Homes.My immediate reaction: Come on! So here are all the realtors, who made enough money during the housing boom to put themselves in corporate branded HumVees (I actually saw this in some small market in Florida… made me slightly ill), partnering with genuine community activist groups to help "save" the same people that they played a part in getting into deep water in the first place (how's that for a run-on runoff at the mouth!).
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Forgive me for being a total femme today, but an actual statistical survey forces the point: What is UP with the real estate business? A new study from the National Association of Realtors has me fuming.
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Since we're all talking about "keeping America great" today on CNBC, I think we should start at the heart, and by that I mean in the bathroom -- okay, the kitchen; I mean at home. Americans will spend nearly $233 billion on home remodeling this year, according to a press release I got yesterday from the National Association of Home Builders. A key driver in this trend is green remodeling.
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I almost didn't want to do the Toll Brothers earnings report today on TV, because frankly, I feel like a broken record. Oh look, there's a homebuilder reporting poor earnings, missing the Street's expectations and lowering full-year earnings outlooks. And guess what? It's those tighter lending standards and that buyer skittishness that has everyone running for the hills of suburbia.
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I'm getting a little annoyed with the premise that the subprime mortgage crisis and tightening lending standards are wholly to blame for the current headwinds in housing. Of course, they are contributing to the problem, and of course, it's important for us to keep on top of regulatory and institutional changes in the mortgage market. But here's the thing: I think we might be missing one of the boats in the blame game -- specifically, greed.
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Realty Check takes you from the housing boom to bust and beyond. Led by Diana Olick, we were here when the house came crashing down and we have the singular expertise to explain how it will be rebuilt. The goal of this blog is to bring the market, the rescue plans, the politics and the pontification home to you, with clear concise explanations of the wildly complicated issues in all facets of real estate today and tomorrow. Realty Check is read by leaders in the real estate industry: Investors, Realtors, Big builder CEOs, Mortgage Bankers, Wall Street Analysts and Administration Officials to name a few.