Current Housing Indicators |
| CURRENT | PREVIOUS | ||
| Existing Home Sales | 4.49m | ▼ | 4.74m |
| New Home Sales | 309,000 | ▼ | 344,000 |
| Housing Starts | 583,000 | ▲ | 477,000 |
| Building Permits | 547,000 | ▲ | 531,000 |
| HMI | 9 | UNCH | 9 |
| Existing Home Prices | $170,300 | ▼ (annually) | $199,800 |
| New Home Prices | $201,100 | ▼ (annually) | $232,400 |
- Commercial Conundrum
- Commercial Real Estate: 'Ticking Time Bomb'
- Bank-owned Inventory: Move it!
- Realities of the New Obama Refis
- A Bigger Housing Bailout for Obama
- Home Prices: Are We There Yet?
- Treasury: Jingle Mail A Myth
- How Bad Is The Housing Market? One Man's Tale
- Appraisal Code Sparks Huge Response
- New Rules on Home Appraisals End Up Thwarting Many Sales
|
CNBC'S MOST SHARED
- Unemployed? Bored? Make Money Playing Beer Pong
- The Highest Grossing (Inflation Adjusted) Movies of All Time
- Social Networking's 'Naked' Truth
- Geek Squad V. Gizmodo
- Merrill's McCann Seen as UBS Wealth Frontrunner
- Warren Buffett's Top Three Investment Rules for the Average American
- Why You Should Watch Fund Flows
- WPP's Sir Martin Sorrell on the Ad Recession
- Four Things You Should Be Doing Now To Break Out
- Proprietary Trading May Cause October Crash: Investor
- Eric Schmidt on Government Scrutiny and Economic Recovery
- Market 360: The Week's Best & Worst
- Geek Squad V. Gizmodo
- Brandt: Google Chrome OS in the Post-PC Age
- Other People Are Weirder Than We Are
- Bank Failures: Is The Nightmare Over? (Video)
- California Here I Go? No.
- Roginsky: No More Mr. Nice Guy
- Commercial Conundrum
- Cheney Told CIA to Withhold Information: Report
- Why the Credit Pendulum Is Stuck at 'Stupid'
- Stimulus Will Kick in Later this Year: President Obama
- Lender CIT Group Hires Premier Bankruptcy Adviser
- Government Selling Bank Stakes for Too Cheap: Panel
- Buffett's Top 3 Investment Rules for Average Americans
- Market Insider: Earnings Loom in the Week Ahead
- Bulls Get Summertime Blues, But It's Hot Fun for Bears
- As Banks Fail, Strong Institutions Become More Visible
RSS FEED

![]() |
Yes, were it not for lil ol’ me spouting all these nasty numbers, Jane and John Doe would be plopping down that hefty down payment on their brand spanking new home in that brand spanking new development with all those brand spanking new chain-store strip malls just a stone’s throw away. Forget rising interest rates, tightening credit, plummeting affordability and severe overbuilding driven by speculators who never intended to set foot in any of the structures they purchased, it’s all me.
And then again today I had the joy of reporting yet another negative number for the housing sector. This is a fave of mine, because it’s not about the buyers and the government stats, or the real estate agents and their sales figures--it’s about the builders and their feelings, nothing more than feelings (sorry). The HMI, Housing Market Index, from the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo, rates home builder sentiment on a scale where anything over 50 is considered positive and under considered negative.
“Derived from a monthly survey that NAHB has been conducting for more than 20 years, the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months. The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers.”
And the number is down again--down to 28, a low not seen since February of 1991. The index was lower in January of ’01, at 20, but you might remember Gulf War I that Mr. Bush Sr. kicked off, and, well, that had everyone far more worried than the recession going on within the nation’s borders. Anyway, it bounced back to 28 when the war quickly proved to be, well, effective, just one month later and then of course rose to close to 80 by the end of the decade.
So despite the fact that all these CEOs were telling me that I’m the only one shouting from the rooftops that the housing market is in trouble, they were busy quietly telling the bean counters at NAHB, that they really kinda felt the same way.
Dave Seiders, the Chief Economist for the NAHB tells me he feels my pain. I was regaling him today about how the CEOs were so enamored with me--NOT--and he said that I was one up on him. They positively can’t stand how outspoken he is about the trouble in home building, about how the builders overbuilt and misjudged the market, and how he’s continually pushing back his forecast date for a housing recovery. And he’s one of them!
Yes, I know, the CEOs need to pump the stocks and pump up the stockholders’ enthusiasm, but come on. Anyone smart enough to navigate E*Trade can also figure out how to run a 6 month stock chart on CNBC.com. And if they run a few, they’ll get the picture that the home builder stocks have fallen about 40% from their latest peak in early February, while the rest of the market was running like the wind.
So I’d just like to throw out a big ol’ thank you to all those home builders out there who told their industry representatives that they think there might be some problems still to work out in housing. Forgive me for reporting your number. Didn’t mean to seem too bearish. And do let me know if there’s anything I can do to help.
Questions? Comments?










