Options Traders Foresaw Whole Foods Troubles, Says Analyst
At this point, most every business observer seems familiar with the anonymous Web antics of Whole Foods Market CEO John Mackey. While corporate-law experts debate the legality of his acts, investors are asking what it all means for the company's value. Andrew Wilkinson, senior market analyst at Interactive Brokers, joined "Power Lunch" to offer the options market's view of Whole Foods.
Wilkinson said the imbroglio, in which Mackey anonymously disparaged rivals on a Yahoo bulletin board, is merely the latest development that has caused market misgivings. For example, the FTC is attempting to block Whole Foods' acquisition of competitor Wild Oats Markets .
"Back in the autumn [of 2006], it looks like options traders positioned themselves correctly for a decline [in Whole Foods' share price] -- which we saw plenty of," said Wilkinson.
He noted that Whole Foods' stock dropped 40% over three months going into the winter.
But the analyst says options traders haven't given up hope on the aggressively expanding organic food chain: "Now, it looks like for the last eight months, there have been more call buyers than put buyers -- and they seem to be positioned for most of the upside, through 40, perhaps as high as 46, 50," he said.
A statement on the Whole Foods Market Web site confirmed that Mackey posted messages on the Yahoo chat forum. Reportedly, the posts disparaged "alternative" supermarket rivals such as Trader Joe's and Wegmans Food Markets. In one post Mackey and even anonymously praised his own haircut.
The messages were posted under the screen name, "Rahodeb," a cryptogram of his wife's name. One particularly sticky aspect of the story: The CEO lambasted the value of competitor Wild Oats Markets -- which his company still seeks to acquire.