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Should the Fed 'Rescue' the Financial Markets?

Published: Friday, 10 Aug 2007 | 6:14 PM ET
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By: CNBC.com

Ben Bernanke
AP
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke in January, 2007

Jim Cramer's "Bernanke doesn't know how bad it is out there" rant calling for a Federal Reserve rate cut has been seen all over the world.  (If you haven't caught it yet, take a look.)  That was before the Fed's policy meeting Tuesday at which it decided to keep rates unchanged as it worried more about inflation than the markets.

Now, global worries about the markets are getting even more serious.  The Dow plunged 387 points Thursday and On Friday, stocks remained under a lot of pressure, although the Dow did fight back from a loss of as much as 220 points to end just about 30 points lower on the day.

The main problem for the markets: a sharp reduction in liquidity for the global credit markets as a sharp devaluation of subprime loans takes its toll.

Friday morning, the Fed said it will be "providing liquidity to faciliitate the orderly functioning of financial markets" and do what it needs to do to keep the Fed Funds overnight bank-lending rate from rising above the central bank's target of 5.25%.  At mid-morning, it injected another $16B to the nation's financial system on top of $19B earlier in the day and a total of $24B Thursday.  Then at about 1:30pm ET, a third Fed injection of $3B.

Does the Fed need to do even more?  Just days ago, it would have been hard to find anyone who expected a Fed rate cut before the end of the year.  Friday morning, a Merrill Lynch analyst said the futures markets are suggesting the Fed may be forced to cut that target rate as soon as next week, before its regularly scheduled meeting in September.

The Heat asks: Should the Federal Reserve come to the rescue of the financial markets by cutting interest rates?

Here you can find the facts and opinions you need to make up your own mind . . . and tell us what you think, either by email or with our new Live Poll directly to the right of this text. If you can't see it, please refresh the page. We are still working out a few kinks.

Briefing Book: From CNBC

The Heat on Street Signs Video Clip: Will Fed Rescue Credit Markets? (August 9)

The Call Video Clip: Is Bernanke Wrong? (August 10)

Squawk Box Video Clip: Inside Ben's Head (August 10)

CNBC.com: Fed Is Facing Growing Pressure to Cut Interest Rates (August 10)

CNBC.com: Stocks End Mixed In Wild Session; Major Indexes Up for the Week (August 10)

CNBC.com: Federal Reserve Adds $38 Billion in Funds to Financial System (August 10)

CNBC.com: ECB Adds a Further $83.6 Billion in Liquidity (August 10)

CNBC.com: Mortgage Stocks Tumble on Fresh Reminders of Liquidity Constraints (August 10)

Reuters on CNBC.com: SEC Examines Wall Street Books for Subprime Losses (August 10)

CNBC Econ-Recon Survey: Fed Statement Didn't Change Pros' Forecasts (August 7)

CNBC Econ-Recon Survey: Wall Street's Post-Fed Commentary (August 7)

CNBC Econ-Recon Survey: Did the Fed get it right? Tell us what you think (August 7-9)

CNBC.com Video Clip: Wake Up, Bernanke! See Cramer's Outrage (August 7)

Briefing Book: From Around the Web

New York Times: Mortgage Losses Echo in Europe and on Wall St. (August 10)

CNNMoney.com on Yahoo Finance: Should the Fed cut interest rates now to ease credit fears? (August 10)

Business Week: The Bernanke Agenda - Just Say No (August 8)

The Economist: Not putting out (August 8)

Globe and Mail: Fed to the rescue? Don't hold your breath (August 8)

The Business: Why Bernanke is holding firm on rates despite credit crunch (August 8)

Opinions

Click here to watch video of Donald Trump interview on Squawk on the Street








Squawk on the Street Video Clip: Donald Trump Interview on the Economy (August 10)

Click here to watch video of Mort Zuckerman interview on CNBC's Squawk on the Street










Squawk on the Street Video Clip: Mort Zuckerman Interview - The Ninja Crunch (August 10)

CNBC.com Video Roundup: Did the Fed Blow It? The Critics Speak ... (August 8)

Gerald O'Driscoll on WSJ.com: Our Subprime Fed (August 10)

Wall Street Journal Editorial Board: The Bernanke Call (August 9)

Peter Hodson in the National Post (Canada): Bernanke should cut rates (August 9)

Caroline Baum on Bloomberg: Fed Gives Weak Nod to Growth and Credit Risks (August 8)

Andrew Busch's Amazon Blog: Credit Crunch Part 2 (August 9)

James Picerno on Seeking Alpha: The Fed and Interest Rates - Is There a Cut in Your Future? (August 8)

Todd Sullivan on Seeking Alpha: It's Fed Speculating Time Again (August 7)

The Heat's Opinion

Despite its name, The Heat likes to keep its cool.  At this point, knowing what we know now, a Federal Reserve move to "rescue" the markets by cutting rates would be premature.  It could even be destabilizing, by signaling to the markets that the Fed thinks there's big trouble ahead.

But The Heat is also fairly cynical. Experience tells us there are probably bad things still out there that we don't know about yet. 

As a result, The Heat wouldn't bet against the market's growing expectations of a rate cut in the next few months, and it could come between meetings of the Fed's policy making committee.

Questions?  Comments? 


Should the Federal Reserve come to the rescue of the financial markets by cutting interest rates?

Email us at:

"The financial institutions took these risks at their own volition; they should bear the consequences of their foolishness. If they go under, so be it. It is not the responsibility of the taxpayer to subsidize irrational exuberance!" - Alex, Virginia

"The Fed is handling this as it should be handled. If the Fed were to put in a deep cut at this time it would only contribute to a financial panic. Interest rates at this time are quite low and to lower them could easily lead to inflation. Lowering the prime rate will not solve the subprime mortgage loan situation." - Fremont

"An ease is a given now after repo #3. Look again at what Kramer was saying last week when everyone thought he was off his rocker. This isn't about inflation any more. When WAMU and Countrywide can not sell their prime jumbo loans in the market at any price, well, they have no choice other than to stop making jumbo loans! That will put the final knife in the heart of the housing market. I am in the institutional bond business ... Not even AAA rated Agency securities trade now." - JP 

"The only people who can't see a depression are the idiot tax increasers of both parties in Congress and Ben Bernanke." - Truth Sayer in DC

"That's a very loaded question, to which my answer would have to be no, that the Fed's job is not to 'rescue.'  That being said, if you ask the question whether I think the Fed will lower rates in the near future, my answer would have to be 'yes.' My belief is that the credit situation has the macroeconomic impact of a large interest rate increase, as the cost of borrowing has gone up, in many cases dramatically, over the past month... I think they are trying at all costs to avoid cutting rates in what could be perceived as a 'panic' move, but I think the economy will unfortunately give them ample reason quite soon." - Richard C.

"No way should the Fed get involved. The free market will determine price faster than a bunch of theoriticians ever dreamed possible." - Larry D., Illinois

"Absolutely not... The subprime lending mess was caused by greed... I have 3 employees who make $500 a week gross and they are married and have kids. They have big credit card debt, car payments, and expenses, and yet banks and subprime lenders FOUGHT over them to give them loans. They should of never been granted loans, period. Who was the brain surgeon that fought over them? Give me a break!" - G.

"I don't believe the Fed should step in at all here, they need to let the market sort this out. For those of us on the sidelines, who didn't buy real estate during the bubble, will be further priced out of the market if the Fed cuts rates. We need to shake up the real estate market and burst the price bubble further to where home prices make more sense. Prices are still too high. The Fed should not punish those of us who responsibly sat on the sidelines." - Jeff C., California

"The Fed is interfering with normal business ups and downs. They will push inflation HIGHER down the road. They need to stay OUT!" - Larry S., Nebraska

"More corporate welfare from an organization that pretends to believe in small government? I think not. Stop wasting my tax dollars bailing out banks." - LZ, New Jersey 

"The most sensible cooler heads prevail. The Big Fries played too hard with risky assets, and what is worse, sold them to others and so they deserve to cook. What should IMMEDIATELY be restored is the shorting on an uptick rule. I detest the concept of short-selling anyway, but this gives short sellers an unfair advantage. In any event, in markets like these, real investors (as opposed to traders or those looking for a quick buck) ultimately will be richly rewarded." - Christopher, New York City 

"I just got off the phone with my mortgage lender here in Brick, NJ and with a credit score of 720 I cannot refinance into a mortgage that is not at least 2-$300 higher than what I am currently paying after my mortgage has adjusted upwards $200 each six months for the past 2 years. On top of that I own a small business selling medical supplies and pharmaceuticals to other distributors across the country and they are having more problems than ever with people not paying their bills. If the Fed doesn’t do something FAST there is going to be a whole mess that no one is going to want to clean up." - Gregory B. 

"'Most people are fools' - Socrates. 'There are two things infinite in this Universe, Space and Human stupidity" - Albert Einstein. 'There is no means to avoid the final collapse of a boom brought about by the expansion of credit' - Ludwig Von Mises.  Take note, there is no means, not intervention by God, not even the Fed, to avoid the ramifications of our foolish stupidity." - Ron P.

"The problem is not interest rates. They should not be cut as it would send a wrong message to the markets and tank the dollar. The problem is liquidity. I received a quote on a 10/30 loan on a NNN Walgreens 90 days ago at ten year Treasury plus 90 bp. Today I got a quote at plus 180 bp. That is a panic situation, not an interest rate situation. Attack the problem which is confidence, not interest rates." - Bruce F.

"Have one of your negative cut experts tell me what on earth would be hurt by a .25 basis point cut? I can't imagine what damage that would cause and nobody says anything about it. All they say is the Fed doesn't need to cut?"  - Kenneth H.

"I am furious that the Fed is injecting money to help credit markets. They are the ones who caused this problem to begin with and should not be recreating the problem of excess liquidity. If the credit markets got into trouble because of excessive greed, indirectly supported by the Fed, then it is NOT the Fed's job to save them. I am surprised that CNBC - which champions free market capitalism - is NOT criticizing the Fed move as another govt. dole out to help the greedy markets. With free market capitalism comes the risk of losing - which all these hedge funds and others should accept and suffer from. Don't expect the Fed to help." - Atul A.

"Now those who espouse unlimited greed want the government intervention they despise to rescue them! It turns out all those Wall Street cowboys are really Momma’s boys. Rescuing them from their own egregious decisions will only make them more foolish next time. Let the dispassionate market rule." - Ken L., Virginia

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