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U.S. Stocks Stage Dramatic Comeback From Session Lows

CNBC.com
Thursday, 16 Aug 2007 | 8:55 PM ET

A strong rally during the final half-hour of trading erased much of Wall Street's losses in another volatile trading session.

The rebound was led by recently battered financial shares on optimism regulators may let Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two biggest U.S. mortgage funding companies, play a bigger role in steadying the ailing industry. At around 1 p.m. eastern time, the Dow had been down by more than 300 points.

Analysts say recently trounced financial stocks experienced a short-squeeze as speculators who bet against the group covered short positions and bought shares back amid the Fannie and Freddie speculation. Names like Goldman Sachs , Citigroup and Merrill Lynch provided upside leadership.

Fannie Mae continues to talk with regulators about whether the housing finance company should increase the size of its investments in home loans as a means of stabilizing the rattled mortgage market.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished with a loss of 15 points, its sixth consecutive decline, at 12,845. Declining issues on the New York Stock Exchange led gainers 20-13 on record volume of about 6 billion shares. The Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 8 points to 2,451 level, with roughly 3.2 billion shares traded. And the S&P 500 added more than 4 points, closing at 1,411.

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The market slumped at the opening bell following more troubles for Countrywide Financial, worse than expected housing data, and as traders accelerated unwinding of yen carry trades.

The Dow dropped as much as 343 points after the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank said its business activity index was at 0.0 in August versus 9.2 in July. The report indicated factory activity in the Mid-Atlantic region is stagnating. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a reading of 9.0.

When the market was sharply lower, major indices like the S&P 500 had fallen 10% from the late July highs bringing the market into an official full fledged "correction", defined by many as a decline of at least 10%. A bear market is defined as a market dropping more than 20% from its high.

Housing starts showed a slump of more than 6% in July versus expectations for a decline of about 4%. Starts are now at the lowest level in 10 years, while building permits tumbled to the lowest point in 11 years.

That news further fanned fears about mortgage lending and the condition of credit markets amid troubles at Countrywide Financial . The nation's largest mortgage lender said it drew down an entire $11.5 billion credit facility to bolster its liquidity, as a shortage of credit weighs on the mortgage industry.

Countrywide's move to tap a financial lifeline sparked quick reaction from credit ratings agencies. Moody's Investors Service downgraded Countrywide's senior debt three notches to "BAAA3," its lowest investment grade, and said a cut to junk status was possible. Fitch Ratings cut the debt to "BBB-plus," its third-lowest investment grade.

Moody's and Fitch also cut ratings on Residential Capital, lowering GMAC's home lending unit to junk status. Rescap is 49% owned by General Motors.

Turmoil in the credit markets sparked a further reversal of the yen carry trade as traders sought to unwind risky positions. The yen surged against the dollar as traders unwound the carry trade by buying back Yen.

Risk aversion was also reflected in bond market money flows where three and six month Treasury-bill yields tumbled, indicating a flight of capital into short term Treasurys.

"Clearly the flight of money into the short end of the yield curve indicates a lot of fear," said Andrew Bekoff, chief investment strategist at Printz Capital Management. "The message here is there is a fear of a systemic problem. Whether its legitimate, or not who’s to say."

In corporate news, biotechnology company Amgen slumped after it said it would cut up to 14 percent of its work force, or 2,600 jobs. The company also lowered its profit guidance because of slimmer than expected sales of its anemia drug Aranesp.

J.C. Penney profit inched up 1.7 percent to 81-cents a share, helped by back-to-school sales and the introduction of new private-labelbrands. Penney's earnings beat analyst estimates by 4-cents a share.

Kraft Foods is looking to sell its Post cereals business, which owns Grape Nuts and Shredded Wheat brands, the Wall Street Journal reported on its Web site on Thursday.

European Stocks Tumble

European shares took another big step lower Thursday.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy added political weight to the credit-related concerns by saying authorities need to be "very vigilant" of market corrections, in a letter to German Chancellor Angela Merkel dated August 15.

Sarkozy also fired a warning shot at credit-rating agencies, which are at the center of the subprime valuation problems.

"We must question the role of rating agencies in identifying risks," Sarkozy told Merkel.

The comments come as the European Commission planned to review the voluntary code that credit rating agencies use to signal to investors the amount of risk associated with various assets, a senior Commission source told Reuters on Thursday.

The overwhelming negative sentiment left very few stocks in positive territory on the London FTSE-100, Paris CAC-40 and Frankfurt DAX, which all made triple-digit losses.

Investors dived out of stocks and into short-term government bonds, sending the yield on the German Schatz and 2-year gilts sharply lower.

Solid earnings from Zurich Financial Services didn't keep shares of the Swiss firm in the green. Zurich beat expectations with a 33% rise in first-half net profit and said it had escaped the subprime crisis, but the stock dropped 1.7%.

Meanwhile, Swiss specialty chemicals company Ciba missed forecasts with a second-quarter net profit decline of 45%, due to restructuring costs. Shares in the company fell 6.8%.

And in economic news, euro-zone consumer-price inflation fell 0.2% on the month and rose 1.8% on the year in July, which is well within the European Central Bank's target and in line with analysts' forecasts.

Asian Stocks Selloff

Stocks in Asia were hammered Thursday as currency carry trades were unwound, while emerging market bonds, stocks and currencies were dumped in favor of safe-haven government bonds amid worries about spreading U.S. subprime mortgage problems. Australia and Japan suffered triple-digit losses with South Korea taking the worst beating.

Seoul shares, including blue chips such as Samsung Electronics, suffered their biggest drop in five years as fears about global credit markets sparked a selloff in a market that only three weeks ago hit a lifetime high. The KOSPI plummeted 6.93%.

The Korea Exchange suspended trade in the tech heavy KOSDAQ for 20 minutes after the index fell a whopping 10%. Earlier in the session, the Korea Exchange had temporarily suspended program selling orders. South Korean authorities said they would take all possible measures to stabilize domestic financial markets amid fears that problems with the U.S. subprime mortgage sector were spreading. Vice Finance Minister Kim Seok-dong also said during a weekly briefing his ministry would collaborate with the central bank to inject funds into money markets through repurchase agreements on any signs of a squeeze in short-term capital markets. Year-to-date, the KOSPI is still up 18%.

Tokyo's broad TOPIX finished 1.7% lower -- the index had fallen as much as 4% at one point -- with financial shares such as Mizuho Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial taking a beating, while the stronger yen hammered exporters such as Toshiba and Toyota Motor.

The Nikkei 225 Average closed 2% down, off its 3.5% low as investors unloaded steel and shipping stocks but flocked to utilities and other defensive stocks. The Bank of Japan injected 400 billion yen (US$3.4 billion) into money markets. This is the third time since last Friday that the BOJ has acted in a bid to curb rises in a key overnight interest rates.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped as much as 5% -- the biggest one-day percentage fall in over seven years -- but pared losses to finish 1.3% lower, dragged down by financial shares such as Macquarie Bank on growing worries about credit markets.

Hong Kong-listed China plays plunged over 5% and the Hang Seng Index sank as much as 3.3% as investors sold across the board amid heightened credit
fears, dragging HSBC Holdings to 5-month lows. Heavy selling took mainboard turnover to HK$59.6 billion (US$7.6 billion), compared with Wednesday morning's HK$43.2 billion.

Singapore shares nosedived to their sharpest one-day drop since September 2001, as investors dumped blue-chip financial stocks such as DBS Group and Singapore Exchange on fears of a global credit squeeze. The Straits Times Index fell as much as 5.16%, its biggest one-day fall in percentage terms since September 21, 2001. The index pared its losses and down 3.5% in the afternoon session.

China's Shanghai Composite Index tumbled more than 2% as institutional investors sold large-caps aggressively to take profits, traders said. Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, the most heavily weighted stock, dropped almost 5%.

Asian markets have fallen over 10% since July 20 this year, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied to breach the 14,000 barrier.

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