Futures lower this morning on pressure from the financials. The UBS headline for the bank analyst report this morning tells the story: lower earnings ahead. They are adjusting their 2008 earnings expectations for many banks and brokers.
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We are still waiting for the NYSE to announce the winner of the bid for Van der Moolen's specialist business. Van der Moolen announced a couple weeks ago that they were exiting the business; I have reported Lehman is the winner, but there has been no official announcement.
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Financials again underperformed today, despite Treasury Secretary Paulson's press conference highlighting his efforts to help homeowners whose ARMs are resetting at higher rates. One likely cause of the continuing selloff in financials is tax loss selling. Keefe Bruyette Woods highlighted this in a note today to investors.
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Treasury Secretary Paulson has been floating a plan to help people whose Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs) are resetting at higher rates. The Street, for the most part, supports the plan, but does it really change the fundamentals of the housing industry?
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Dow up 40 points, S&P up 4 points since Treasury Secretary Paulson has been on talking about efforts to help homeowners who are facing mortgage resets. Nothing new here; but the image of Paulson talking about problems are helping the markets.
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One of the biggest problems the Street has is that no one knows how to value assets that are plummeting: in particular mortgage backed securities and their derivatives, and (to a lesser extent) land in markets that are experiencing severe downturns.
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Despite last week's relief rally and a widespread belief that the Fed and the executive and legislative branches of government are working on solutions to the subprime mess, there are still Street analysts cranking out reports on the probability of a recession.
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Stocks, particularly financials, rose today for the fourth day in a row. Is this the bottom of the market? It's not clear, but the signs are more auspicious than they have been in a while. consider: 1--economic news this week, for the most part, has been poor, giving the Fed cover to lower rates.
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Will the rally hold? For the first time in weeks, at least half the traders I've talked with think we will end the day with gains, though perhaps not at the highs. Bulls say: 1--We have broken the "sell in the last hour" mantra in the last two days.
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Banks and mortgage companies have been rallying today on the positive comments from Ben Bernanke and word that Treasury Secretary Paulson has been meeting with loan servicing companies and other executives in the mortgage industry to work out a plan that would extend lower, introductory interest rates on home loans before they reset at higher levels.
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Direct from the floor of the NYSE, Trader Talk with Bob Pisani provides a dynamic look at the reasons for the day’s actions on Wall Street. If you want to go beyond the latest numbers— Bob will tell you why the market does what it does and what it means for the next day’s trading.
A CNBC reporter since 1990, Pisani reports on Wall Street and the stock market from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Follow him on Twitter @BobPisani.