- The Geithner Affect On Markets
- What Citi Is Doing
- Why This Was A Different Sell-Off
- Trader Voices Growing: Break Up Citi
- Trouble With Stocks: Lost Identity
- The Doomsday Scenario For Automakers
- Money Manager Peter Schiff Had It Right In 2006
- Traders Expecting Market Rise At Today's End
- Why There's No Market Rally
- Guidance Is Now A Tricky Business
- Pops & Drops: Hewlett-Packard, JP Morgan & Air Wagoner
- Mad Money Green Week: Owens Corning
- Fast & Furious: It's All About Soup
- Web Extra: The Trade on Walmart and RIMM
- Chartology: Grossly Oversold and Favoring the Upside
- The "Armageddon" Gameplan
- What's Next for Citigroup?
- What to Expect From a Geithner-led Treasury
- Value Trading Opportunity of a Lifetime?
- HP Earnings: How Much Will "Hurt" From Economy?
- Obama Warns On Economy: Works On Stimulus Plan
- Citigroup's Ills May Signal Market Isn't Near Bottom
- US Inflation Bonds Hit by Deflation, May Recover
- Pros Say: Market Will Drop 5-10% — Ford Will Boom
- Bonds Drop on Profit-Taking, Geithner Move
- Jack Welch on Detroit: Let Them Go Bankrupt
- Bank Shareholders Face 'the Unthinkable': El-Erian
- Heinz Profit Rises, Thanks to Hedging

Chevron's commentary last night are a tad disturbing for a couple of reasons. It's not the obvious things: they lowered earnings partly on weaker margins for refined products. This was somewhat expected, given that we knew oil prices were high and gasoline prices did not move up as much, so refiners have seen their margins squeezed.
It's the rest of the stuff that's raising eyebrows on the Street:
1) Overall crude production volumes are down (-3.5% year on year in the U.S.), and down -7.2% in international oil volumes. Normally, U.S. production is weak but international is growing for the major international companies.
As Paul Sankey at Deutsche Bank notes, "There are no start-ups and volumes are terribly weak."
2) $700M in charges, according to Deutsche Bank. That is a lot. The company, unfortunately, does not break this down, but most analysts seem to think that asset impairment charges is a factor. Another factor may be environmental remediation (like oil spills).
3) A third factor, not Chevron's fault, but typical of what's happening to oil companies, is that taxes go up. So volumes aren't growing, but taxes keep coming. More squeeze on profits.
Questions? Comments?


