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Medco Has Long, Healthy Life Ahead

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Published: Tuesday, 18 Dec 2007 | 12:09 PM ET
By:

Web Editor, "Mad Money"

Cramer Is Bullish on MHS
When big drugs come off patent and go generic, companies like MedcoHealth benefit, with Mad Money host Jim Cramer.

When drugs go generic, MedcoHealth Solutions makes money.

So it's good news for the company that, according to Thomson Scientific and IMS Health, drugs that represent $77 billion in sales -- Prevacid, Lipitor, Effexor and others -- will lose their patents over the next five years. Medco gains about $8 million in margin for every $100 million in branded drugs that come off patent, BMO Capital Markets calculated, and that amounts to a $6 billion profit opportunity for the company.

Medco makes its money when drugs come off patent by negotiating lower prices with the generic companies that step into the market. As a pharmacy benefits manager, the company buys its medications in bulk, so Medco already enjoys hefty discounts. But those discounts look like they'll just get better going forward.

And on top of all this, Medco's a defensive play. Healthcare cost-containment companies tend to do well regardless of the market, which will be important if we enter the recession Cramer said he thinks we might.

Thanks to those impending patent expirations, Medco can provide investors with earnings visibility five years out. So, as Cramer said, Medco "is the ideal stock with certain profits for uncertain times."

Questions for Cramer? madmoney@cnbc.com

Questions, comments, suggestions for the Mad Money website? madcap@cnbc.com

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Thanks to some key drugs coming off patent, this pharmacy benefits manager could make $6 billion over the next five years.Investing can be confusing. Luckily, Cramer has mapped out some road rules for all you Home Gamers trying to navigate the jungle that is Wall Street. Think of it as "Mad Money 101" –- some fundamental advice to keep in mind as you play the market. Whether you're a first time investor or a seasoned financier, it's always good to remember the basics.

   
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