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  Thursday, 14 Feb 2008 | 4:07 PM ET

Dow has 20th Triple Digit Move of the Year

Posted By: Ariel Nelson

The Dow closed with a triple digit loss today, the 20th plus/minus 100+ point move of the year.

20 triple digit moves of the DJIA in 31 sessions

  • 9 up
  • 11 down (counting today)
  • Biggest Gain +299 on Jan 23
  • Biggest Drop -370 on Feb 5

This is the most 100+ moves ever in the first month and a half of a year. The previous record for the same time period was 14 in 2000.

»Read more
  Thursday, 14 Feb 2008 | 8:46 AM ET

Will the Markets Show Some Love on Valentine's?

Posted By: Ariel Nelson
AP

Historically, there has not been too much love on average from Wall Street on Valentine's Day. On average the major indices have been flat on Feb 14.

  • Avg Dow percent move of +.05%
  • Avg S&P percent move of -.08%
  • Avg Nasdaq percent move of +.07%

The Best Valentine's Days:

  • Dow:
    • Best point gain of 158.9 in 2003
    • Best % gain of 2.2% in 1920
  • S&P:
    • Best point gain of 17.5 in 2003
    • Best % gain of 2.1% also in 2003
  • NASDAQ:
    • Best point gain of 63.7 in 2001
    • Best % gain of 2.6% also in 2001

Worst Valentine's Days:

  • Dow:
    • Worst point loss of 107.9 in 2001 (when the NASDAQ had its best day)
    • Worst % loss of 4.3% in 1933
  • S&P:
    • Worst point loss of 23.9 in 1999
    • Worst % loss of 5.1% in 1933
  • NASDAQ:
    • Worst point loss of 83.7 in 1999
    • Worst % loss of 3.5% also in 1999

Last year's biggest Valentine's day gainers in the S&P were:

  • Deere & Co (DE) up 9.0%
  • CSX Corp. (CSX) up 6.9%
  • Affiliated Computer Svcs (ACS) up 5.9%
  • Newell Rubbermaid (NWL) up 5.1%
  • Ciena Corp (CIEN) up 4.8%
»Read more
  Wednesday, 13 Feb 2008 | 1:04 PM ET

Pfizer and High Yielding Healthcare

Posted By: Ariel Nelson
With a 5.6% dividend yield, Pfizer is currently the highest yielding stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and ranks 20th in yield on the S&P 500.  As a point of comparison, 30 Yr treasuries and the Lehman Aggregate Bond Index are yielding about 4.5%.  The Lehman Corporate Bond Index is yielding 5.55%. So is it the time to buy PFE? »Read more
  Tuesday, 12 Feb 2008 | 2:33 PM ET

SI Swimsuit Issue - Do Blondes Have More Fun?

Posted By: Ariel Nelson

On a whim and based on Darren Rovell's interview with Sports Illustrated Covergirl

»Read more
  Tuesday, 12 Feb 2008 | 11:34 AM ET

Chesapeake Tuesday Political Futures

Posted By: Gina Francolla

Maryland, Washington, D.C., and Virginia vote today in the Chesapeake primaries. The Intrade market \(www.intrade.com \) is predicting that McCain and Obama will sweep today's election. According to Intrade, both McCain and Obama are most likely to receive the nomination from their parties.

With a substantial delegate lead, McCain has a 94% probability of getting the GOP nomination, a 7% increase since last week's Super Tuesday primaries.

»Read more
  Monday, 11 Feb 2008 | 11:49 AM ET

S&P 500 Earnings Leaderboard: Biggest Surprises Season to Date

Posted By: Ariel Nelson

So far 364 of the S&P 500 companies (just under 75%) have reported earnings.

Here's how things stand:

  • Companies Exceeding Estimates: 219 or 60%
  • Companies Matching Estimates: 49 or 13%
  • Companies Falling Below Estimates: 96 or 26%

So far, it is the tech sector that has the biggest surprises to the upside, with Lexmark reporting EPS that was 122% above expectations. In absolute dollars, Exxon still leads with its $982 million surprise. Disney surprised last week by $219 million.

»Read more
  Monday, 11 Feb 2008 | 10:23 AM ET

DJIA Remix - Component tenure

Posted By: Ariel Nelson

Dow Jones announced two new Dow components today, the first change to this major market index since 2004. Honeywell and Altria are out while Chevron and BofA are in. The change will take effect next week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average originally was an index of 12 "smokestack" companies and made its debut in 1896. Since then it has expanded to have 30 companies. Of today's members, only General Electric was on the original list. It was replaced by US Rubber in 1898 and then added back in 1907 to replace Tennessee Coal and Iron.

Here are the current components sorted by seniority:

»Read more
  Monday, 11 Feb 2008 | 9:14 AM ET

Card, Jewelry & Restaurant Companies To Love

Posted By: Giovanny Moreano
AP

Following Companies to Watch on Valentines Day Part I and Valentine's Day Companies Part II . Here is our next group of companies to keep an eye on this month.

5) Jewelers:

  • Tiffany’s
  • Blue Nile Inc.
  • Harry Winston
  • Zale Corp.
  • Ice.com is currently privately held with investments by Polaris Venture Partners and Ignition Partners.

6) Card makers:

  • American Greetings
  • CSS Industries

7) Restaurants

  • Morton’s Restaurant Group Inc.
  • Ruth’s Chris Steak House Inc.
  • Landry’s Restaurants
  • P.F. Chang’s
  • Darden Restaurants Inc.
»Read more
  Friday, 8 Feb 2008 | 6:18 PM ET

Major Markets End the Week Down over 4%

Posted By: Gina Francolla

For the week ending Friday, February 08, 2008 all major US Indexes ended down over 4% driven by weak economic data, a contractionary ISM Services number - the worst since 2001, Fed Speak, and the ECB holding rates steady.
Highlights:
-The Senate approved the $168M Stimulus Package to aid the economy.
-Global Insight's February U.S. Executive Summary states that we are now "over the edge" and that the U.S. economy has entered a mild recession for the first half of the year.
**Global Insight forecasts GDP declines of 0.4% in Q1 and a decline of 0.5% in Q2.
**Global Insight forecasts GDP growth of 3.4% in Q3 and growth of 2.7% in Q4 when "monetary and fiscal stimulus kick in."
-Volatility continued as the Dow fell 370.03 points to close at 12265.13 on Tuesday, its biggest point drop since January 17th. The Dow, S&P and NASDAQ all fell close to 3% on the ISM Services data.
-On Wednesday, 2/6/08, the Nasdaq Composite entered bear market territory, off more than 20% from its closing peak of 2859.12 hit on Oct. 31, 2007.
-All S&P Sectors ended the week in negative territory led by Financials with a loss of -8.59%. Consumer Staples brought in the strongest performance with a loss of only -2.14%
-The dollar rallied this week and is on track for its biggest gains since June, 2006 as the U.S. slowdown is expected to drag on other economies.
*The dollar gained 2% against the euro this week after dim comments from President Trichet of the ECB, which voted to keep the ECB rate unchanged at 4.0%, still wary of Eurozone inflation.
**The Bank of England lowered rates by a 1/2 point to 5.25%.
-The US Dollar Index (.DXY) moved off 2-month lows and is up 1.60% on the week
*The Dollar Index measures the performance of the Dollar against a basked of 6 currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, CHF, SEK)
-Commodities were on fire: The RJ CRB Index hit a record high and is up almost 24% over the last 12 months (The CRB measures a basket of 19 commodity futures, including crude)
*Oil for March delivery is up 3.16% for the week closing at $91.77 per barrel, off -7.88% from its record close of $99.62 per barrel hit on January 2nd.
*Platinum for April delivery set new record intraday high of $1,892.8 on Friday, and is up 6.37% for the week closing at 1884.0
*Spring Red Wheat used for bread and pasta hit new highs for the third straight day up 10% for the week, and all wheat contracts hit highs
*Rough Rice hit a new record high of $15.775 before closing at $15.65, up 12.87% in 2008
Market Stats:
The Dow ended down -561.06 or -4.40% for the week
-Friday, the Dow closed at 12,182.13 down -64.87 or -0.53%
-The Dow is Negative YTD down -8.16%
-The Dow is off by -1,982.40 or -14.00% from the market peak on October 9th of 14,164.53
The NASDAQ ended down -108.51 or -4.50% for the week
-Friday, the NASDAQ Composite closed at 2,304.85 up 11.82 or 0.52%
-The NASDAQ is Negative YTD down -13.10%
-The NASDAQ is off by -554.27 or -19.39% from the market peak on October 31 of 2,859.12
The S&P 500 ended down -64.13 or -4.60% for the week,
-Friday the S&P 500 closed at 1,331.29 down -5.62 or -0.42%
-The S&P is Negative YTD down -9.33%
-The S&P is off by -233.86 or -14.94% from the market peak on October 9th of 1,565.15

»Read more
  Friday, 8 Feb 2008 | 3:09 PM ET

Specialty Retailers & Perfume Manufacturers To Love

Posted By: Giovanny Moreano
AP

Continuing from Companies You will Love this Valentine's , here are more companies to watch this Valentine's Day

3) Perfume Manufacturers:

  • International Flavors and Fragrances Inc.
  • Parlux Fragrances Inc.
  • Inter Parfums Inc.
  • Elizabeth Arden Inc.
  • Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
  • Revlon Inc.

4) Specialty Retailers:

  • Teddy Bears
    • Build-A-Bear Workshop
    • Vermont Teddy Bear is privately held
»Read more

About By the Numbers

  • Our market specialists dig deep into Wall Street’s daily metrics, crunching the numbers to help you become smarter about the market so that you can make better investment decisions. By The Numbers details the daily drama, the winners and losers, how the day stacks up historically, and how the numbers can offer a glimpse of the future.

 

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