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Performance Following Big Drops

Looking beyond today's sell off, we went back 20 years to see how the markets performed in the days that followed a 4% drop in the Dow, S&P or Nasdaq:

Dow (16 times in past 20 years):

  • The Dow was up 68.8% of the time 1 day later, with average gains of 2.6%
  • The Dow was up 62.5% of the time 1 week later, with average gains of 4.6%
  • The Dow was up 62.5% of the time 1 month later, with average gains of 6.7%

S&P (12 times in past 20 years):

  • The S&P was up 83.3% of the time 1 day later, with average gains of 2.8%
  • The S&P was up 66.7% of the time 1 week later, with average gains of 4.9%
  • The S&P was up 83.3% of the time 1 month later, with average gains of 4.9%

NASDAQ (52 times in past 20 years):

  • The NASDAQ was up 40.4% of the time 1 day later, with average gains of 3.6%
  • The NASDAQ was up 53.8% of the time 1 week later, with average gains of 5.8%
  • The NASDAQ was up 53.8% of the time 1 month later, with average gains of 10.9%