Super Tuesday Political Futures
By: Gina Francolla
On the Democratic Party's side, the race between Clinton and Obama is still incredibly tight with a 53.4% probability of Clinton receiving the Democratic nod, according to Intrade, and Obama has a 46.8% probability of winning, showing positive momentum up 7.1 on the day.
The Democratic Primary in California is neck and neck with the latest Rasmussen Reports survey showing Obama with a "statistically insignificant" one-point lead over Clinton who had held a three-point lead earlier in the week (www.rasmussenreports.com). The Intrade markets show the reversal with Clinton showing a 46.50% probability of winning the California primary, down 11.5 points today, and Obama is at a 53.40% probability of winning California, up 11.40 today.
The Democratic Primary in California is neck and neck with the latest Rasmussen Reports survey showing Obama with a "statistically insignificant" one-point lead over Clinton who had held a three-point lead earlier in the week (www.rasmussenreports.com). The Intrade markets show the reversal with Clinton showing a 46.50% probability of winning the California primary, down 11.5 points today, and Obama is at a 53.40% probability of winning California, up 11.40 today.
