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Charting Asia with Daryl Guppy

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  Monday, 1 Feb 2010 | 11:13 PM ET

Toyota's Stock is Stuck in First Gear: Charts

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

Toyota's stock is stalled at the traffic lights and has been for many months.

It's convenient to attribute the sluggish performance to the automaker's recent recall woes, but a closer look at the stock's technicals will show the downtrend's been in place for sometime now, although the stock did manage to break out from the descent somewhat last year to take on a prolonged sideways trading pattern.

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  Thursday, 21 Jan 2010 | 12:25 AM ET

What Charts are Saying About Google's Stock

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

If you Google ‘cause and effect’ you come up with a list of millions.

It’s a complicated subject, and the relationship between the cause and effect on the Google price chart is just as complicated.

It's convenient to associate the recent price pullback with Google’s current dispute with China. However, a closer look at its stock chart would reveal other technical factors at play, including Google's well-established historical resistance level near $600.

Chart analysis doesn’t concentrate on cause and effect. That’s for fundamental analysts. Chart analysis concentrates on understanding trend strength and identifying the trigger points which indicate the balance of probability has shifted.

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  Wednesday, 13 Jan 2010 | 11:33 PM ET

How to Trade Intel on Earnings 'Pop': Charts

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

Chip bellwether Intel kicks off tech sector earnings on Thursday, and analysts expect the chip maker to once again, surpass Wall Street's estimates.

Intel shares have already been riding higher in anticipation of strong earnings; the stock rose more than 8 percent over the holiday quarter, bringing total gains over the past six months to 30 percent.

The question is, how much more of a 'pop', or not, will the actual results provide the stock?

Historically, Intel has had a good record of impressive report cards, which is characteristically reflected in the company's weekly stock chart over the last two years.

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  Thursday, 25 Feb 2010 | 10:05 PM ET

India Stocks: Where is Asia's Top-Performer in 2009 Headed in 2010?

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

After a terrible 2008, Indian stock markets came roaring back to life in 2009.

Foreign investors that roamed the globe armed with cash and in search of higher returns loaded onto Indian stocks, helping the benchmark BSE Sensex gain 81% for the year, making India the best-performing stock market in Asia; and the third in the world, after Russia and Brazil.

But as we enter 2010, with stocks becoming more expensive, and inflationary fears and asset bubbles forming in parts of the global economy, where are India markets headed?

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  Tuesday, 29 Dec 2009 | 6:06 PM ET

Upside for Global Equities in 2010, China Charts Show

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

With gains of more than 70% so far this year, China is the only global market which has showed a true and powerful “V” shaped recovery, epitomizing the return of investor confidence after a dud year in 2008.

I've indicated in an earlier blog that Western markets are increasingly mimicking the behavior of their Shanghai counterparts , with a lag of several months.

Therefore in order get further clues on where global equities are headed, it's worth looking at the China charts for clues.

There are four important features of China market development.

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  Monday, 21 Dec 2009 | 10:39 PM ET

Santa Out of Puff for Dow: Charts

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

Investors who hope for a Santa Claus Rally in stock markets this year are still waiting. This is a typical annual occurrence when equities post modest, but reliable, gains in late December into the beginning of early January.

But so far, Santa's cheer has eluded Wall Street - the Dow Jones Industrial has traded flat for most part of December.

Investors should be mindful, however, that there has already been a rally, pre-Santa; one that's been in place earlier on this year - March to be exact. Since then, the Dow has risen from 6,500 to the current 10,500 level. Even investors who hopped on in July at 8,000 have had a good sleigh ride.

The question remains: where will the blue-chip index head from here? Will Santa continue to scale higher or will this sleigh ride come to a slow, or perhaps sudden, end in 2010?

The charts can provide some clues to the direction of the Dow.

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  Tuesday, 15 Dec 2009 | 3:42 AM ET

Boeing Chart Looks Set to Takeoff

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

Two years behind schedule, Boeing is finally ready to test-flight its hotly anticipated aircraft, the 787 Dreamliner, Tuesday.

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  Tuesday, 8 Dec 2009 | 3:01 AM ET

How to Get 70% Returns From Clean Energy: Charts

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

Copenhagen might be a hot topic of discussion, but the winds of change have failed to ignite the DJ Alternative Energy Index to a new trend. This index is becalmed in a sea of indifference, trading in a flat trading band.

We'll start by defining the activity (or lack of it) from a charting perspective. Then we'll look at two break out patterns of development which show where changes may be afoot.

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  Tuesday, 24 Nov 2009 | 1:53 AM ET

Gold Will Collapse Like Oil Did in 2008: Charts

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

The gold price has moved quickly and it has developed an important new uptrend characteristic. This so-called 'parabolic' trend is a dangerous type with a high probability of a sudden collapse.

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  Thursday, 19 Nov 2009 | 2:51 AM ET

Dollar Rebound? Wait At Least Another 10 Months

Posted By: Daryl Guppy

The Dollar Index chart provides some insights into the decline of the U.S. dollar, and ultimately its position as a global reserve currency.

The best historical view comes from the monthly chart. It shows the dollar has been locked in a substantial downtrend since 2002 when the Dollar Index fell from $1.20 to $0.81 before a rally to $0.91 followed by a fall to $0.71.

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About Charting Asia with Daryl Guppy

  • Daryl Guppy is an independent technical analyst who appears frequently on CNBC Asia. He runs training, analysis and resource workshops for retail and professional financial market traders involved in stocks, CFDs, warrants, derivatives, futures and commodities in China, Malaysia, Singapore and Australia. He has his own trading company, guppytraders.com.

 

  • Daryl Guppy is an independent technical analyst who appears frequently on CNBC Asia.

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