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Current DateTime: 07:11:42 13 Oct 2008
LinksList Documentid: 23371764
    • Identifying Capitulation: How to Tell We've Hit Bottom

        Are we there yet? That's the question on everyone's lips. People are praying for capitulation. We take a look at the charting features that will help to identify, first, the end of the market fall and second, the development of a market recovery.

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Feb.21
4:36 PM ET
Philly Feed vs. Philly Fed

This week the Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported contraction in its business activity index, hitting a minus 24 for the month and down further from the minus 20.9 reading in January.  This is the lowest index level since the 2001 recession.

As a slowdown in the Mid-Atlantic region worsens, one of our editors wondered what is happening to Philly Feed (i.e., the Philly Cheesesteak) as the Philly Fed points out a slowing economy.  Rising food costs helped push yesteday's CPI numbers up .4% in January (see story here).  To answer his question I looked at some of the raw commodities that go into the classic PA sandwich.

Wheat for the roll is up 18% YTD

Live Cattle for the steak is down 2% YTD










Dairy for the cheese is down 10% YTD

Searching the web, I found Cheesesteaks in a variety of Center City venues with prices ranging from $4.20 to $6.95 depending on the toppings.  Not a bad price to pay in a slowing economic environment.  Maybe you should order one without the roll.

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