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Current DateTime: 08:10:14 15 Oct 2008
LinksList Documentid: 24355697

Current DateTime: 08:10:14 15 Oct 2008
LinksList Documentid: 24890560
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By Andrew Fisher | 27 Feb 2008 | 08:01 AM ET
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Harbor Advisory's chief investment officer Jack DeGan has no doubts that these are challenging
CNBC.com

times.

"If we don't get a recession out of the worst credit crunch we've had since the Depression, the worst housing crash since the Depression, and a tremendous oil shock, then we'll probably never get another one," he told CNBC.

So are we in a recession now?

Picks and Pans

"I think if you believe you're in a recession, as Joe [Kernen] said to me a while back, you want to not own anything with a ticker symbol, just about," he said.

DeGan has some advice for those who think otherwise.

He's got some tough stocks to ride out the rough weather with.

"If you believe the manufacturing sector is going to be strong, things I think you should own there are Caterpillar [CAT  Loading...      ()   ], General Electric [GE  Loading...      ()   ],, Boeing [BA  Loading...      ()   ], Emerson Electric [EMR  Loading...      ()   ]," he said. "The reason is, they all get more than half of their sales from outside the U.S.; they're well-managed companies, strong balance sheets; they're levered to the international infrastructure build-out, you're probably safe there."

General Electric is the parent company of CNBC.com.

DeGan is especially cautious about consumer-related stocks, but he has some choices there, too: Google [GOOG  Loading...      ()   ], American Express [AXP  Loading...      ()   ], and Hewlett Packard [HPQ  Loading...      ()   ].

"If you believe the consumer's going to make it through this, these three stocks are some that I would own," he said. "We started buying Google...because we think the secular trend of advertising from offline to online is going to be around for a long time."

And what about the so-called "recession-proof" stocks?

"Those are the stocks that we like...things like Procter and Gamble [PG  Loading...      ()   ],  Pepsi [PEP  Loading...      ()   ], and Johnson and Johnson [JNJ  Loading...      ()   ]," DeGan said. "These are companies who do slow down in a slower economic environment, but they'll still gain sales, they'll still grow earnings...they're good for individual investors who want to try to ride out a tough time."

DeGan's firm owns more than one per cent of each of all those companies.

© 2008 CNBC.com

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