End of Month "Wackiness Watch"
By: With February drawing to a close, watch for market wackiness on Friday as investors put this volatile month in the books.
Option trader Jon Najarian (Pete’s brother) and Fast Money regular joins the panel for this conversation.
Jon's Analysis:
Investors seem to be liquidating their short positions in some stocks, says Jon Najarian. We’re seeing it already in Ambac (ABK), MBIA (MBI), Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE). When the shorts are out of the way, even stocks with bad earnings rally. I see the same kind of thing playing out the first few weeks in March with financials.
The Trade:
Watch Goldman Sachs (GS), U.S. Bancorp. (UBS), Credit Suisse (CS), and Lehman (LEH). – I think the shorts are giving up the ghost. That should be bullish for these stocks in the short term.
I don’t think investors should chase Goldmanjust yet, counters Jon’s brother Pete Najarian. The low has been about $157 and I think the stock could sink down to $160. If and when it does, then and only then do I think it’s a buy.
Summary:
- Short-sellers could be closing their positions before month's end
- Expect a near-term pop in select stocks as short-sellers exit their positions.
- However, beware of long term weakness
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Trader disclosure: On Feb.28, 2008, the following stocks and commodities mentioned or intended to be mentioned on CNBC’s Fast Money were owned by the Fast Money traders: Macke Owns (YHOO), (INTC); Seymour Owns (AAPL), (BX), (DELL), (INTC), (MER), (MSFT), (TMA), (TSL), (SHLD), (SBUX); Seygem Asset Management Is Short (PBR); Seymour Is Short (S); Pete Najarian Owns (AAPL), (BIIB), (C), (MS), (MSFT), (NVS), (XLF), (CSCO), (BKC), (MCD); Pete Najarian Owns (XTO) Calls, (IVN) Calls; Pete Najarian Owns (YHOO) And (YHOO) Calls; Jon Najarian Owns (FRE), (FNM), (GS)
