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Big Food Stocks: Profit From Inflation
By CNBC.com | 27 Mar 2008 | 04:33 PM ET
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Commodity prices are soaring and biofuel use is putting even more pressure on grains in particular. Can Big Food firms continue to thrive?

Yes, says Alexia Howard, senior research analyst at Sanford Bernstein.

She told CNBC why she remains “bullish on the food group.”

Outlook

Howard acknowledged the rising costs in grain products – “bread, cereal, cookies, crackers” – but said that certain factors like increased pricing “can offset that.”

“Thanks to productivity improvements, though margins are under pressure, the EBIT growth – operating profit growth – is now actually coming through quite well,” she said.

And rising fuel prices are making Big Food stocks good defensive plays, as consumers shy away from restaurants.

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General Mills [GIS  Loading...      (%)   ] did quite well in the third quarter, Heinz [HNZ  Loading...      (%)   ] has also done quite well recently,” Howard said, expecting these successes to continue.

The analyst named Sara Lee [SLE  Loading...      (%)   ] and especially Kraft Foods [KFT  Loading...      (%)   ] as plays on “an interesting story in dairy.”

Disclosures

Howard’s firm holds a significant amount of shares in General Mills and Sara Lee; Kraft is or was a client of Sanford Bernstein during the last 12 months.

Disclaimer

© 2008 CNBC.com

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