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Enjoy Alcohol Stocks -- In Moderation

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Published: Tuesday, 1 Apr 2008 | 10:21 AM ET
By: Greg Levine

Ann Gilpin, beverage analyst at Morningstar, isn't afraid of soaring commodity prices or tepid consumer spending.

"As we go into any kind of consumer slowdown, [alcohol] stocks should hold up relatively well," she maintains.

Gilpin explained her confidence to CNBC -- and offered her top stock picks.

Outlook

Throughout economic see-sawing of the last 50 years, "Alcohol consumption per capita in the U.S. has remained relatively flat," Gilpin said.

"Alcohol stocks are classically counter-cyclical."

Recommendations

The analyst suggests sticking with companies that have broad product reach and very deep pockets. Her No. 1 pick: Diageo, a "behemoth" that "dominates distribution in the U.S." and has "left rivals in the dust in developing markets."

She also likes Anheuser-Busch, Brown-Forman and eponymous Molson-Coors Brewing.

(Sorry, Sam Adams quaffers: Boston Beer Company is "relatively overpriced" at current levels, Gilpin said.)

Disclosure

Neither Gilpin nor her employer currently hold shares in any of the companies mentioned.

Disclaimer

 Print
Ann Gilpin, beverage analyst at Morningstar, isn't afraid of soaring commodity prices or tepid consumer spending. "As we go into any kind of consumer slowdown, [alcohol] stocks should hold up relatively well," she maintains. Gilpin explained her confidence to CNBC -- and offered her top stock picks.
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