As Clinton looks to recharge her comeback with a win in Pennsylvania, and Obama says that Clinton will probably win the PA primary according to AP, the Intrade prediction markets (www.intrade.com) have been predicting Clinton as a clear front runner in Pennsylvania since early March.
-Polls are still showing Clinton maintaining her lead over Obama, but some are showing that her lead has narrowed. Will Clinton gain the double digit win she needs? 158 delegates are at stake.
The Intrade markets currently show that Clinton has a 88.20% probability of winning the PA primary Wednesday, while Obama has a 14.90% probability of winning.
-Clinton is off her contract highs, earlier Monday she had been trading at a 93.1% probability of winning.
The
Intrade markets are still predicting that Obama will win the Democratic nomination with an 83.50% probability vs. Clinton who is trading at a 15% probability of winning the Democratic nod.
As Clinton and Obama duke it out in Pennsylvania, who are the Intrade markets predicting will win the presidency? The Intrade markets are predicting a race between Obama and McCain, but the two are still in a pretty tight race with a 49% probability of Obama winning the presidency vs. McCain's 39.90% probability of winning.
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Clinton only has a 9.50% probability of winning the presidency according to the Intrade markets.
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