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May.08
1:07 PM ET
Thursday, 8 May 2008
Retail Sales: The Good, Bad And Bottom Line

So there’s good and bad news on retail sales.

The good news:

--April better than March, even if you include the early Easter and better weather.
--Teen retailers terrific.

The bad news:

--We may be overly optimistic here. Some cynics believe this is a head fake, and that we should not extrapolate this into some kind of consumer turnaround. Expectations were extremely low for April.

--There is a clear trend toward non-discretionary items. So Wal-Mart [WMT  Loading...      ()   ] did a little better than even Target, and the wholesale clubs were huge. Costco [COST  Loading...      ()   ] sales up 8 percent; BJ's[BJS  Loading...      ()   ] up 17.8 percent. Off-price apparel like Ross Stores [ROST  Loading...      ()   ]and TJ Maxx were strong.

Bottom line: consumer still looks stressed, hope is the tax rebate will help some in May. The question is whether oil trumps better sales.


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