- Turkey Day Will Gobble a Bigger Bite From Your Wallet
- Free Shipping—Pfff. Try 70 Percent Off!
- A Gift Card as the Perfect Gift? Not Anymore.
- UPS Cranks Up Its Sleigh for Dec. 18
- Web Sales Tactics: Virtual Salespeople and Zombie Videos
- Tech the Halls: Gift Cards Get Gadgets to Lure Shoppers
- Why You Should Worry About Weak Holiday Sales
- Toy Trends: Lean and Barbie Green
- Christmas on Consignment
- Finally, a Cheery Holiday Forecast for Retailers
- Out with Cox, in with Uptick Rule
- Pops & Drops: Hewlett-Packard, JP Morgan & Air Wagoner
- Mad Money Green Week: Owens Corning
- Fast & Furious: It's All About Soup
- Web Extra: The Trade on Walmart and RIMM
- Chartology: Grossly Oversold and Favoring the Upside
- The "Armageddon" Gameplan
- What's Next for Citigroup?
- What to Expect From a Geithner-led Treasury
- Citigroup Talks, But Nothing 'Walks' To Stabilize
- Soros: More Money Needed For U.S. Bailout
- HP Earnings: How Much Will "Hurt" From Economy?
- Obama Warns On Economy: Works On Stimulus Plan
- Citigroup's Ills May Signal Market Isn't Near Bottom
- US Inflation Bonds Hit by Deflation, May Recover
- Pros Say: Market Will Drop 5-10% — Ford Will Boom
- Bonds Drop on Profit-Taking, Geithner Move
- Jack Welch on Detroit: Let Them Go Bankrupt
This blog will look at the winners and losers in the retail space. Who has the right strategy to capture consumer dollars? It also will look for trends in consumer spending and how that will impact the economy.
Surviving and flourishing during this downturn requires innovation, flexibility and a playbook that can convince consumers to spend even when they don’t have much spare cash.
Last week I posted some features on interesting ways that retailers are refocusing to foster growth during this period of contraction.
Far and away the most viewer email came in response to my feature on Texas Roadhouse[TXRH
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] ,- from Davis Skinner pointing out the painful puns (“Texas Roadhouse CEO "Spots" Strategy To Cut Cattle Costs”) to readers questioning the strategy of buying meat at spot market prices. That’s why I decided to dig in and post a number of your emails.
Just to rehash for a second, Texas Roadhouse decided in September to start buying 25% of its beef supply at spot market prices. The majority of the meat is purchased at long-term contract prices from vendors.
Mortons [MRT
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] and Ruth’s Chris [RUTH
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] have similar strategies as well. Restaurant analyst John Gordon of Pacific Management Consulting Group points out that the benefits of this type of buying strategy are only short-term: “As a long time restaurant analyst, I'd say that while the Texas Roadhouse Strategy makes sense if there was a spread, in general, it is not the long term best practice. Chains and more importantly, consumers, need planning reaction time and price flexibility, if possible.”
Gordon is right. In fact, beef prices are projected to increase over the next few months. Why? In part because there is a supply glut of cattle on the market right now that will not be there in a few months. One trader told me that he thinks this short-term oversupply is due to the high cost of grains and corn.
The cost to farmers of feeding their cattle is so expensive right now that many are choosing to “liquidate” their herds rather than pay pricey feed costs to keep them alive. In a few months, this oversupply will thin out and the market will then bid beef prices back up. That potentially could mean that those long-term beef cattle contracts that lock-in prices with vendors could actually save restaurants money. That would reverse the current trend which makes spot prices more strategic for companies like TXRH.
Another price saving suggestion came from reader James Tripper. He wants the restaurant industry to pay more attention to other cost-saving strategies such as taking on consultant companies to turn around on-site operations and save bottom line costs while still driving in customers.
Thanks for the emails. One bit of housekeeping before I sign off. My apologies to Ben Parks, Thomas Kramer and others who were looking for my full video interview with Texas Roadhouse CEO GJ Hart. Unfortunately, an editing problem forced us to remove the clip.
I hope you all enjoyed the long-weekend.
Questions? Comments?



