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Euro Banks Need to Raise $90-$140 Billion: Goldman

Reuters
Friday, 4 Jul 2008 | 5:58 AM ET

Goldman Sachs said the European banks sector needs to raise about 60 billion to 90 billion euros, or withhold one year of dividends, to reach an aggregate Tier I ratio of 9 percent -- a level achieved by European banks that have recapitalized recently.

The bearish comment by the Goldman analysts weighed on European stocks, with the benchmark FTSEurofirst 300 index down 0.43 percent at 1,172.99 points.

The analysts said they do not expect the mounting writedowns per se to trigger additional capital calls at this point.

"Instead, we believe that regulatory pressures and a sharp turn in the European credit cycle are the two main causes for concern for bank investors."

Access to liquidity, capital adequacy and post-crisis profitability are the key areas of near to medium-term uncertainty, the analysts said in a note to clients.

European banks' share prices remain under pressure and the sector is weighed down by the risk for additional capital raisings to cover tighter capital standards, a more severe downturn in the European credit cycle, or a combination of both, the brokerage said.

Goldman Sachs cut its rating on Spain's Santander to "neutral" from "buy" and took down price targets for Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank, Deutsche Postbank and several others.

Shares of Santander were down nearly 3 percent at 11.55 euros, while Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank and Deutsche Postbank fell 1-1.9 percent.

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