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Prepare for 2009 Dollar Doom: Strategist

CNBC.com
Wednesday, 1 Oct 2008 | 12:39 PM ET

Gold prices rallied 14 percent over the last two weeks as stocks declined — but the precious metal is down for the quarter. But Dan Smith of Standard Chartered told CNBC he's bullish on the commodity.

"We've seen very strong physical demand for gold coins in places like India and Europe," he said. "A lot of the bad news [for commodities] is already priced in."

Gold Rallies on Stock Weakness
Gold prices rallied 14% in the last two weeks as stocks declined, but the precious metal is down for the quarter. Dan Smith from Standard Chartered considers the outlook for gold.

What about the resurgent U.S. dollar? As of this writing, the dollar is up against the yen and against the euro . But Smith says that's merely temporary:

"The [U.S.] dollar is in a substantial weakening cycle, both for structural reasons and expectations of the bailout" and its effect on the U.S. budget balance sheet, he said.

He expects short-term strength for the greenback -- until "late 2009," when he sees the dollar's decline steepening. Then, expect to see gold over $1,000 per ounce, he predicts.

Aaron Smith at Superfund Financial is even MORE bullish -- in a shorter horizon.

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Click ticker for quote data:

Gold ETFs

- SPDR Gold Shares
- Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF
- iShares COMEX Gold Trust

Gold Miner Stocks

- Barrick Gold
- Freeport McMoRan

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Disclosures:

Disclosure information was not available for Smith or his company.

Disclaimer

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