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Oct.07
12:48 PM ET
Tuesday, 7 Oct 2008
S&P's Stovall: My Market Bounce Outlook

S&P's Sam Stovall says history points to an 18 percent market bounce in six months.

Standard & Poor's chief investment strategist told CNBC of his "Moses movement" scenario -- so-called as it traditionally starts to take shape over the course of 40 days -- in which bear markets begin to reverse themselves.

"It won't be a V-shaped recovery, but a slow, meandering recovery," Stovall predicted.

Which stocks and sectors will lead the revival?

"Those areas that held up the best on the way down," Stovall said, naming large-cap consumer staples and health care sectors. But he also believes buyers will be "possibly dipping back into energy and materials -- areas investors feel have been unfairly beaten up."

Stovall had one more caveat for investors using his "Moses movement" theory: "History is a guide, but never gospel."

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Top Consumer Staple/Health Care Stocks:

- Johnson & Johnson [JNJ  Loading...      ()   ]

- Kimberly Clark [KMB  Loading...      ()   ]

- Unilever plc [UL  Loading...      ()   ],
Unilever NV [UN  Loading...      ()   ]

- Procter & Gamble [PG  Loading...      ()   ]

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Disclosures:

Disclosure information was not available for Stovall or his firm.

Disclaimer

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